AXS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +0.7% | 4.2% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 2.3% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 1.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +1.8% | 5.4% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 3.24 | 2.84 | -12.4% | -17.9% | -11.2% | -1.6% | -6.5% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 3.38 | 3.29 | -2.5% | -1.4% | +2.5% | -1.1% | -4.5% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 3.12 | 3.25 | +4.2% | +3.9% | +0.3% | +2.4% | +2.7% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 2.92 | 3.25 | +11.5% | +2.2% | +5.9% | +4.4% | +9.3% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 2.93 | 3.29 | +12.3% | +0.5% | -3.6% | +1.7% | +5.3% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.69 | 3.17 | +18.0% | +1.8% | +1.1% | +3.4% | +7.5% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 2.58 | 2.97 | +15.0% | -0.5% | +3.1% | +1.5% | +5.2% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.54 | 2.71 | +6.7% | -2.0% | -3.2% | +5.6% | +20.0% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.60 | 2.93 | +12.7% | +2.1% | +1.7% | -5.2% | +5.2% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 2.41 | 2.57 | +6.7% | +4.7% | +5.2% | +7.4% | +12.2% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | -0.58 | 2.94 | +603.1% | -1.4% | -4.0% | +2.9% | +5.5% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 1.96 | 2.34 | +19.4% | -0.3% | -6.8% | -1.2% | +4.9% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 1.94 | 2.23 | +15.0% | +4.1% | +2.1% | -2.9% | -2.6% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.97 | 2.33 | +18.2% | -1.3% | -2.4% | -4.3% | -5.6% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 1.78 | 1.95 | +9.8% | +1.5% | +7.3% | -4.6% | -4.4% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 0.07 | 0.03 | -57.0% | -2.0% | -2.3% | +7.5% | +12.3% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 1.53 | 1.74 | +13.4% | -2.0% | -3.2% | -3.9% | +3.9% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 1.67 | 2.09 | +25.4% | -0.7% | +1.2% | +3.4% | +1.2% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 1.51 | 2.13 | +41.2% | +0.1% | -2.5% | +4.0% | +0.3% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | -0.60 | 0.01 | +101.7% | +9.1% | +4.0% | -3.4% | -5.3% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.44 | 2.00 | +38.9% | +1.2% | -2.6% | +4.1% | +5.2% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.64 | 0.97 | +52.1% | -0.1% | +2.7% | +2.7% | -3.8% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | -0.28 | -0.20 | +28.7% | +0.6% | -5.1% | +8.0% | +11.0% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | -0.93 | -0.77 | +17.2% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +12.6% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.36 | 0.84 | +133.1% | +4.7% | +2.2% | +3.0% | +13.6% |
| 2020-05-04 miss | -1.56 | -1.94 | -24.7% | +0.8% | +1.2% | +2.9% | +11.6% |
| 2020-01-29 miss | 0.18 | 0.05 | -72.6% | +1.3% | +5.3% | -0.7% | -10.7% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | 0.18 | -0.39 | -317.4% | -3.6% | -4.5% | -0.1% | +0.0% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.31 | 1.62 | +23.5% | +0.0% | +3.7% | +0.5% | -1.8% |
| 2019-04-24 miss | 1.39 | 1.24 | -11.1% | -3.0% | -1.3% | -0.4% | +5.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.