AYI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.9% | +2.2% | 8.6% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -1.1% | -0.2% | 3.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +3.2% | 9.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 beat | 5.19 | 5.31 | +2.4% | +14.5% | +17.6% | -0.1% | -6.5% |
| 2026-04-02 beat | 4.00 | 4.14 | +3.5% | -0.7% | -7.5% | +4.9% | +7.6% |
| 2026-01-08 beat | 4.59 | 4.69 | +2.1% | -7.6% | -12.9% | -0.4% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-01 beat | 4.84 | 5.20 | +7.5% | +6.2% | +5.4% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2025-06-26 beat | 4.44 | 5.12 | +15.3% | +7.3% | +5.8% | +0.4% | +2.7% |
| 2025-04-03 beat | 3.70 | 3.73 | +0.9% | -5.7% | -3.4% | -9.1% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-08 beat | 3.90 | 3.97 | +1.9% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +5.5% | +2.1% |
| 2024-10-01 beat | 4.27 | 4.30 | +0.7% | +6.8% | +8.7% | +2.0% | +0.9% |
| 2024-06-27 beat | 4.08 | 4.15 | +1.6% | +0.9% | +1.1% | -1.4% | +2.7% |
| 2024-04-03 beat | 3.23 | 3.38 | +4.8% | +0.6% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -5.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.