AYI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.9% | +2.4% | 7.8% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | +0.1% | 2.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.8% | 1.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +1.9% | 9.0% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 beat | 5.19 | 5.31 | +2.4% | +14.5% | +17.6% | -0.1% | -6.5% |
| 2026-04-02 beat | 4.00 | 4.14 | +3.5% | -0.7% | -7.5% | +4.9% | +7.6% |
| 2026-01-08 beat | 4.59 | 4.69 | +2.1% | -7.6% | -12.9% | -0.4% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-01 beat | 4.84 | 5.20 | +7.5% | +6.2% | +5.4% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2025-06-26 beat | 4.44 | 5.12 | +15.3% | +7.3% | +5.8% | +0.4% | +2.7% |
| 2025-04-03 beat | 3.70 | 3.73 | +0.9% | -5.7% | -3.4% | -9.1% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-08 beat | 3.90 | 3.97 | +1.9% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +5.5% | +2.1% |
| 2024-10-01 beat | 4.27 | 4.30 | +0.7% | +6.8% | +8.7% | +2.0% | +0.9% |
| 2024-06-27 beat | 4.08 | 4.15 | +1.6% | +0.9% | +1.1% | -1.4% | +2.7% |
| 2024-04-03 beat | 3.23 | 3.38 | +4.8% | +0.6% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -5.4% |
| 2024-01-09 beat | 3.23 | 3.72 | +15.1% | +5.7% | +11.5% | -1.7% | +6.0% |
| 2023-10-04 beat | 3.73 | 3.97 | +6.5% | +6.2% | +6.9% | +1.6% | -6.7% |
| 2023-06-29 beat | 3.73 | 3.75 | +0.6% | -1.0% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +1.7% |
| 2023-04-04 beat | 2.73 | 3.06 | +12.2% | -7.7% | -11.0% | -2.2% | -5.0% |
| 2023-01-09 beat | 3.02 | 3.29 | +9.0% | +3.3% | +2.9% | -0.7% | +9.7% |
| 2022-10-04 beat | 3.61 | 3.95 | +9.5% | +8.4% | +4.9% | -0.7% | +7.6% |
| 2022-06-30 beat | 2.91 | 3.52 | +21.0% | +3.8% | -1.1% | +1.6% | +17.9% |
| 2022-04-05 beat | 2.37 | 2.57 | +8.6% | -0.2% | -8.1% | -0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2022-01-07 beat | 2.41 | 2.85 | +18.3% | +1.1% | +1.9% | -3.8% | -12.1% |
| 2021-10-06 beat | 2.87 | 3.27 | +14.1% | +9.9% | +10.9% | +5.5% | +7.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.