AYI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +1.5% | 8.9% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 3.2% | 58% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.3% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +1.1% | 10.7% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 beat | 5.19 | 5.31 | +2.4% | +14.5% | +17.6% | -0.1% | -6.5% |
| 2026-04-02 beat | 4.00 | 4.14 | +3.5% | -0.7% | -7.5% | +4.9% | +7.6% |
| 2026-01-08 beat | 4.59 | 4.69 | +2.1% | -7.6% | -12.9% | -0.4% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-01 beat | 4.84 | 5.20 | +7.5% | +6.2% | +5.4% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2025-06-26 beat | 4.44 | 5.12 | +15.3% | +7.3% | +5.8% | +0.4% | +2.7% |
| 2025-04-03 beat | 3.70 | 3.73 | +0.9% | -5.7% | -3.4% | -9.1% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-08 beat | 3.90 | 3.97 | +1.9% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +5.5% | +2.1% |
| 2024-10-01 beat | 4.27 | 4.30 | +0.7% | +6.8% | +8.7% | +2.0% | +0.9% |
| 2024-06-27 beat | 4.08 | 4.15 | +1.6% | +0.9% | +1.1% | -1.4% | +2.7% |
| 2024-04-03 beat | 3.23 | 3.38 | +4.8% | +0.6% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -5.4% |
| 2024-01-09 beat | 3.23 | 3.72 | +15.1% | +5.7% | +11.5% | -1.7% | +6.0% |
| 2023-10-04 beat | 3.73 | 3.97 | +6.5% | +6.2% | +6.9% | +1.6% | -6.7% |
| 2023-06-29 beat | 3.73 | 3.75 | +0.6% | -1.0% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +1.7% |
| 2023-04-04 beat | 2.73 | 3.06 | +12.2% | -7.7% | -11.0% | -2.2% | -5.0% |
| 2023-01-09 beat | 3.02 | 3.29 | +9.0% | +3.3% | +2.9% | -0.7% | +9.7% |
| 2022-10-04 beat | 3.61 | 3.95 | +9.5% | +8.4% | +4.9% | -0.7% | +7.6% |
| 2022-06-30 beat | 2.91 | 3.52 | +21.0% | +3.8% | -1.1% | +1.6% | +17.9% |
| 2022-04-05 beat | 2.37 | 2.57 | +8.6% | -0.2% | -8.1% | -0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2022-01-07 beat | 2.41 | 2.85 | +18.3% | +1.1% | +1.9% | -3.8% | -12.1% |
| 2021-10-06 beat | 2.87 | 3.27 | +14.1% | +9.9% | +10.9% | +5.5% | +7.3% |
| 2021-07-01 beat | 2.28 | 2.77 | +21.5% | +1.0% | -5.8% | -1.5% | -1.9% |
| 2021-03-31 beat | 1.74 | 2.12 | +21.8% | +4.7% | +13.3% | +1.4% | +12.4% |
| 2021-01-07 beat | 1.86 | 2.03 | +9.4% | -2.5% | -5.5% | -2.6% | +3.0% |
| 2020-10-08 beat | 2.01 | 2.35 | +16.9% | +0.3% | -10.3% | -5.9% | -6.1% |
| 2020-06-30 beat | 1.35 | 1.94 | +44.0% | +11.9% | +7.2% | -3.9% | +5.5% |
| 2020-04-02 miss | 1.90 | 1.84 | -3.2% | +2.1% | -4.9% | +20.1% | +7.1% |
| 2020-01-09 miss | 2.21 | 2.13 | -3.8% | -7.9% | -13.8% | -0.8% | -4.0% |
| 2019-10-02 miss | 2.82 | 2.75 | -2.5% | -17.8% | -11.2% | +3.2% | +8.5% |
| 2019-07-02 beat | 2.51 | 2.53 | +0.8% | -9.3% | -7.8% | -1.5% | +0.8% |
| 2019-04-03 beat | 1.78 | 1.99 | +12.0% | +3.6% | +8.8% | +3.8% | +7.7% |
| 2019-01-09 beat | 2.13 | 2.32 | +8.9% | +4.2% | -2.8% | +0.2% | +7.2% |
| 2018-10-03 beat | 2.67 | 2.68 | +0.3% | -5.4% | -13.2% | -10.2% | -2.6% |
| 2018-07-03 beat | 2.17 | 2.37 | +9.1% | +10.3% | +12.7% | +0.5% | +2.8% |
| 2018-04-04 miss | 2.13 | 1.89 | -11.1% | -8.1% | -3.9% | +0.3% | -14.0% |
| 2018-01-09 miss | 2.08 | 1.94 | -6.7% | -11.7% | -15.0% | +3.7% | -7.9% |
| 2017-10-04 beat | 2.43 | 2.55 | +4.9% | -3.8% | +5.1% | -7.4% | -9.6% |
| 2017-06-29 beat | 2.03 | 2.15 | +5.7% | +7.9% | +10.5% | +0.0% | +2.1% |
| 2017-04-04 miss | 1.84 | 1.77 | -3.6% | +0.0% | -14.8% | +2.2% | +3.4% |
| 2017-01-09 miss | 2.18 | 2.00 | -8.1% | -12.2% | -14.7% | +4.1% | +3.3% |
| 2016-10-05 miss | 2.39 | 2.21 | -7.6% | -8.0% | -4.7% | +0.7% | -9.8% |
| 2016-06-29 beat | 2.03 | 2.06 | +1.5% | +2.6% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +6.4% |
| 2016-04-06 beat | 1.57 | 1.80 | +14.9% | +9.3% | +13.3% | +0.7% | -4.3% |
| 2016-01-08 beat | 1.58 | 1.65 | +4.6% | -0.4% | -3.7% | -5.8% | -16.5% |
| 2015-10-07 beat | 1.62 | 1.63 | +0.3% | +3.1% | +3.7% | +6.9% | +17.6% |
| 2015-07-01 beat | 1.35 | 1.37 | +1.8% | +3.6% | +4.4% | +0.0% | +7.1% |
| 2015-04-01 beat | 1.06 | 1.08 | +2.3% | -1.0% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +1.4% |
| 2015-01-09 beat | 1.13 | 1.32 | +16.5% | +6.6% | +6.7% | -0.6% | +6.0% |
| 2014-10-01 beat | 1.22 | 1.26 | +3.3% | +6.2% | +11.0% | +1.0% | +5.9% |
| 2014-07-01 miss | 1.13 | 1.00 | -11.2% | -6.1% | -14.9% | -1.9% | -8.8% |
| 2014-04-02 miss | 0.83 | 0.75 | -9.6% | -3.4% | +3.2% | -7.8% | -10.2% |
| 2014-01-09 beat | 0.84 | 0.96 | +14.0% | +9.1% | +12.2% | +8.0% | +3.8% |
| 2013-10-01 beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +1.6% | +1.0% | +7.5% | -4.2% | +3.0% |
| 2013-07-02 beat | 0.87 | 0.97 | +10.9% | +3.4% | +7.2% | +4.1% | +8.4% |
| 2013-04-03 beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +0.8% | +7.8% | +5.3% | +2.9% | -1.2% |
| 2013-01-08 miss | 0.80 | 0.69 | -14.2% | -7.1% | -5.1% | +2.3% | +5.4% |
| 2012-10-02 miss | 0.92 | 0.88 | -4.6% | -6.8% | -4.7% | +1.5% | +6.3% |
| 2012-07-02 beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +4.5% | +6.0% | +15.8% | -1.9% | -2.6% |
| 2012-04-04 miss | 0.62 | 0.57 | -8.1% | -2.4% | -9.7% | -3.6% | -6.3% |
| 2012-01-09 beat | 0.67 | 0.74 | +9.9% | +9.3% | +9.2% | +5.2% | +10.0% |
| 2011-10-05 miss | 0.79 | 0.79 | -0.4% | +6.9% | +5.9% | +14.4% | +18.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.