BABA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.7% | 7.4% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -1.4% | -1.9% | 3.5% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.6% | 3.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -2.9% | -4.8% | 8.8% | 25% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 miss | 10.82 | 8.52 | -21.3% | -4.2% | +1.3% | -10.9% | — |
| 2026-05-13 miss | 5.74 | 0.62 | -89.2% | -2.0% | +8.2% | -7.8% | -22.6% |
| 2026-03-19 miss | 10.94 | 7.09 | -35.2% | -8.5% | -7.1% | +0.4% | +12.2% |
| 2025-11-25 miss | 5.78 | 4.36 | -24.6% | +2.8% | -2.3% | +0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2025-08-29 miss | 15.47 | 14.75 | -4.7% | +7.8% | +12.9% | +4.6% | +32.4% |
| 2025-05-15 miss | 12.81 | 12.52 | -2.3% | -5.8% | -7.6% | -2.0% | -6.4% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 19.38 | 21.39 | +10.4% | +9.6% | +8.1% | +0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2024-11-15 beat | 14.77 | 15.06 | +1.9% | -0.4% | -2.2% | -6.2% | -1.6% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 14.94 | 16.44 | +10.0% | -2.0% | +0.1% | +4.3% | +5.1% |
| 2024-05-14 miss | 10.24 | 10.14 | -0.9% | -5.9% | -6.0% | +8.3% | -4.8% |
| 2024-02-07 miss | 19.00 | 18.97 | -0.2% | -4.7% | -5.9% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 15.11 | 15.63 | +3.4% | -8.7% | -9.1% | -0.8% | -6.7% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 14.46 | 17.37 | +20.1% | +3.6% | +4.6% | -8.6% | -10.6% |
| 2023-05-18 beat | 9.51 | 10.71 | +12.6% | +0.1% | -5.4% | -8.1% | +2.5% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 16.45 | 19.26 | +17.1% | +5.6% | -0.7% | -4.7% | -7.7% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | 11.60 | 12.92 | +11.4% | -2.8% | +7.8% | -10.4% | +3.4% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 10.50 | 11.73 | +11.7% | +5.6% | +1.8% | -2.6% | -5.8% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 7.12 | 7.95 | +11.6% | +6.1% | +14.8% | -1.3% | +23.6% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 16.05 | 16.87 | +5.1% | -8.8% | -0.7% | -6.3% | +3.7% |
| 2021-11-18 miss | 12.44 | 11.20 | -10.0% | -9.1% | -11.1% | -7.1% | -19.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.