BABA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.7% | 5.7% | 44% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.7% | 3.1% | 56% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 2.8% | 48% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -1.7% | 8.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 miss | 10.82 | 8.52 | -21.3% | -4.2% | +1.3% | -10.9% | — |
| 2026-05-13 miss | 5.74 | 0.62 | -89.2% | -2.0% | +8.2% | -7.8% | -22.6% |
| 2026-03-19 miss | 10.94 | 7.09 | -35.2% | -8.5% | -7.1% | +0.4% | +12.2% |
| 2025-11-25 miss | 5.78 | 4.36 | -24.6% | +2.8% | -2.3% | +0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2025-08-29 miss | 15.47 | 14.75 | -4.7% | +7.8% | +12.9% | +4.6% | +32.4% |
| 2025-05-15 miss | 12.81 | 12.52 | -2.3% | -5.8% | -7.6% | -2.0% | -6.4% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 19.38 | 21.39 | +10.4% | +9.6% | +8.1% | +0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2024-11-15 beat | 14.77 | 15.06 | +1.9% | -0.4% | -2.2% | -6.2% | -1.6% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 14.94 | 16.44 | +10.0% | -2.0% | +0.1% | +4.3% | +5.1% |
| 2024-05-14 miss | 10.24 | 10.14 | -0.9% | -5.9% | -6.0% | +8.3% | -4.8% |
| 2024-02-07 miss | 19.00 | 18.97 | -0.2% | -4.7% | -5.9% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 15.11 | 15.63 | +3.4% | -8.7% | -9.1% | -0.8% | -6.7% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 14.46 | 17.37 | +20.1% | +3.6% | +4.6% | -8.6% | -10.6% |
| 2023-05-18 beat | 9.51 | 10.71 | +12.6% | +0.1% | -5.4% | -8.1% | +2.5% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 16.45 | 19.26 | +17.1% | +5.6% | -0.7% | -4.7% | -7.7% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | 11.60 | 12.92 | +11.4% | -2.8% | +7.8% | -10.4% | +3.4% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 10.50 | 11.73 | +11.7% | +5.6% | +1.8% | -2.6% | -5.8% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 7.12 | 7.95 | +11.6% | +6.1% | +14.8% | -1.3% | +23.6% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 16.05 | 16.87 | +5.1% | -8.8% | -0.7% | -6.3% | +3.7% |
| 2021-11-18 miss | 12.44 | 11.20 | -10.0% | -9.1% | -11.1% | -7.1% | -19.9% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 14.28 | 16.60 | +16.3% | -2.5% | -1.4% | -0.8% | -12.2% |
| 2021-05-13 miss | 11.35 | 10.32 | -9.1% | -3.1% | -6.3% | +5.3% | +3.8% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 20.70 | 22.03 | +6.4% | +0.0% | -3.8% | +4.7% | -9.4% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 13.91 | 17.97 | +29.2% | -2.2% | -2.7% | -8.1% | -8.3% |
| 2020-08-20 beat | 13.56 | 14.82 | +9.3% | -1.4% | -1.0% | +10.2% | +6.1% |
| 2020-05-22 beat | 6.07 | 9.20 | +51.6% | -4.2% | -5.9% | +3.4% | +14.5% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 15.70 | 18.19 | +15.9% | -1.9% | -1.8% | -3.5% | -18.8% |
| 2019-11-01 beat | 10.68 | 13.10 | +22.7% | +1.3% | -0.1% | +6.1% | +10.4% |
| 2019-08-15 beat | 10.48 | 12.55 | +19.8% | +5.0% | +3.0% | +3.0% | +6.0% |
| 2019-05-15 beat | 6.50 | 8.57 | +31.8% | +1.3% | +1.6% | -10.6% | -11.0% |
| 2019-01-30 beat | 11.51 | 12.19 | +5.9% | +2.8% | +6.3% | +2.8% | +10.2% |
| 2018-11-02 beat | 7.64 | 9.60 | +25.7% | +0.9% | -2.4% | -1.9% | +7.3% |
| 2018-08-23 miss | 8.34 | 8.04 | -3.6% | +4.0% | -3.2% | +1.4% | -5.3% |
| 2018-05-04 beat | 5.54 | 5.73 | +3.4% | -1.1% | +3.5% | +2.9% | +10.3% |
| 2018-02-01 miss | 10.70 | 10.61 | -0.8% | -5.6% | -5.9% | -9.6% | -5.5% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 6.84 | 8.57 | +25.3% | +2.6% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -8.2% |
| 2017-08-17 beat | 6.25 | 7.95 | +27.3% | +4.2% | +2.8% | +6.8% | +9.8% |
| 2017-05-18 miss | 4.52 | 4.35 | -3.7% | -3.7% | +0.5% | +1.9% | +15.0% |
| 2017-01-24 beat | 7.71 | 9.02 | +17.0% | +4.8% | +3.1% | -0.1% | +1.0% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 4.70 | 5.26 | +11.9% | +2.7% | -2.6% | -1.9% | -8.2% |
| 2016-08-11 beat | 4.19 | 4.90 | +17.1% | +5.5% | +5.1% | +5.7% | +9.8% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | 3.66 | 3.02 | -17.5% | +4.9% | +4.0% | +0.4% | -1.0% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 5.78 | 6.43 | +11.2% | +4.3% | -3.8% | -3.1% | +2.8% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 3.43 | 3.63 | +5.9% | +0.0% | +4.0% | +5.0% | +2.9% |
| 2015-08-12 beat | 3.61 | 3.68 | +1.9% | -6.5% | -5.1% | -0.4% | -11.9% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | 2.58 | 3.00 | +16.4% | +11.0% | +7.5% | +2.8% | +2.7% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 4.69 | 5.05 | +7.7% | -8.0% | -8.8% | -3.1% | -6.5% |
| 2014-11-04 beat | 2.73 | 2.75 | +0.7% | -1.4% | +4.2% | +8.0% | +2.9% |
| 2014-08-27 beat | 2.80 | 3.03 | +8.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 2014-06-16 beat | 1.82 | 2.77 | +52.2% | — | — | — | — |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.