CAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.3% | -3.3% | 12.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 2.6% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -1.2% | -1.1% | 5.2% | 40% |
| 5-day | -3.3% | -4.5% | 16.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 1.85 | 0.98 | -46.9% | -9.8% | -6.9% | -10.4% | -9.9% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | -7.05 | -6.85 | +2.9% | -13.7% | -0.5% | -9.3% | -2.9% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | -0.38 | -4.69 | -1126.5% | -17.5% | -21.5% | -0.2% | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 8.14 | 8.38 | +2.9% | +3.8% | -6.1% | -5.3% | -8.1% |
| 2025-07-29 miss | 1.77 | 0.98 | -44.7% | -9.9% | -15.4% | -9.2% | -8.1% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | -5.86 | -5.23 | +10.8% | +1.9% | +0.6% | +4.5% | +24.7% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | -0.79 | -55.66 | -6939.7% | -1.2% | -6.8% | +12.3% | -25.9% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 8.46 | 6.65 | -21.4% | +4.8% | +10.9% | +1.0% | +11.8% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 2.61 | 1.03 | -60.6% | +3.6% | +2.8% | -1.9% | -17.5% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | -2.88 | -3.21 | -11.6% | +16.4% | +20.1% | +5.7% | -0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.