CAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.3% | -1.8% | 27.1% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.3% | 5.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -1.6% | -1.1% | 4.5% | 40% |
| 5-day | -3.0% | -0.0% | 19.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 1.85 | 0.98 | -46.9% | -9.8% | -6.9% | -10.4% | -9.9% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | -7.05 | -6.85 | +2.9% | -13.7% | -0.5% | -9.3% | -2.9% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | -0.38 | -4.69 | -1126.5% | -17.5% | -21.5% | -0.2% | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 8.14 | 8.38 | +2.9% | +3.8% | -6.1% | -5.3% | -8.1% |
| 2025-07-29 miss | 1.77 | 0.98 | -44.7% | -9.9% | -15.4% | -9.2% | -8.1% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | -5.86 | -5.23 | +10.8% | +1.9% | +0.6% | +4.5% | +24.7% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | -0.79 | -55.66 | -6939.7% | -1.2% | -6.8% | +12.3% | -25.9% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 8.46 | 6.65 | -21.4% | +4.8% | +10.9% | +1.0% | +11.8% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 2.61 | 1.03 | -60.6% | +3.6% | +2.8% | -1.9% | -17.5% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | -2.88 | -3.21 | -11.6% | +16.4% | +20.1% | +5.7% | -0.6% |
| 2024-02-12 beat | 4.12 | 7.34 | +78.3% | -4.5% | -22.9% | -22.1% | -17.1% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 14.19 | 17.09 | +20.4% | +8.8% | +14.0% | +1.1% | +3.4% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | 9.74 | 11.01 | +13.0% | -4.1% | +2.9% | -0.8% | -3.0% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 3.35 | 7.94 | +136.9% | -2.7% | -3.1% | -6.0% | -1.3% |
| 2023-02-13 beat | 7.62 | 10.10 | +32.5% | +3.8% | +10.7% | -8.4% | -25.2% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 14.64 | 21.70 | +48.2% | -0.9% | -6.7% | +6.3% | -0.9% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 14.92 | 15.71 | +5.3% | +5.2% | -4.7% | +6.4% | -3.0% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 3.86 | 9.71 | +151.8% | +7.6% | +1.7% | -20.4% | -30.6% |
| 2022-02-14 beat | 6.58 | 6.63 | +0.8% | -2.2% | -12.0% | -12.7% | +74.0% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 6.68 | 10.74 | +60.9% | +1.7% | +108.3% | -30.1% | -24.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.