CAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | -3.3% | 17.6% | 42% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 4.5% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.1% | 3.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | -2.0% | -1.9% | 14.9% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 1.85 | 0.98 | -46.9% | -9.8% | -6.9% | -10.4% | -9.9% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | -7.05 | -6.85 | +2.9% | -13.7% | -0.5% | -9.3% | -2.9% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | -0.38 | -4.69 | -1126.5% | -17.5% | -21.5% | -0.2% | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 8.14 | 8.38 | +2.9% | +3.8% | -6.1% | -5.3% | -8.1% |
| 2025-07-29 miss | 1.77 | 0.98 | -44.7% | -9.9% | -15.4% | -9.2% | -8.1% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | -5.86 | -5.23 | +10.8% | +1.9% | +0.6% | +4.5% | +24.7% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | -0.79 | -55.66 | -6939.7% | -1.2% | -6.8% | +12.3% | -25.9% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 8.46 | 6.65 | -21.4% | +4.8% | +10.9% | +1.0% | +11.8% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 2.61 | 1.03 | -60.6% | +3.6% | +2.8% | -1.9% | -17.5% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | -2.88 | -3.21 | -11.6% | +16.4% | +20.1% | +5.7% | -0.6% |
| 2024-02-12 beat | 4.12 | 7.34 | +78.3% | -4.5% | -22.9% | -22.1% | -17.1% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 14.19 | 17.09 | +20.4% | +8.8% | +14.0% | +1.1% | +3.4% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | 9.74 | 11.01 | +13.0% | -4.1% | +2.9% | -0.8% | -3.0% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 3.35 | 7.94 | +136.9% | -2.7% | -3.1% | -6.0% | -1.3% |
| 2023-02-13 beat | 7.62 | 10.10 | +32.5% | +3.8% | +10.7% | -8.4% | -25.2% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 14.64 | 21.70 | +48.2% | -0.9% | -6.7% | +6.3% | -0.9% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 14.92 | 15.71 | +5.3% | +5.2% | -4.7% | +6.4% | -3.0% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 3.86 | 9.71 | +151.8% | +7.6% | +1.7% | -20.4% | -30.6% |
| 2022-02-14 beat | 6.58 | 6.63 | +0.8% | -2.2% | -12.0% | -12.7% | +74.0% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 6.68 | 10.74 | +60.9% | +1.7% | +108.3% | -30.1% | -24.9% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 3.34 | 5.63 | +68.6% | -2.0% | -16.6% | +15.0% | +26.7% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | -1.96 | -0.46 | +76.6% | -2.6% | -6.4% | -1.7% | +4.0% |
| 2021-02-16 miss | -0.50 | -1.29 | -158.4% | +1.2% | -6.3% | +30.5% | +57.3% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.17 | 0.63 | +273.3% | -4.1% | -8.3% | -8.1% | +8.6% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | -5.68 | -5.60 | +1.5% | +9.5% | -0.5% | +3.0% | +24.4% |
| 2020-05-01 beat | -1.83 | -1.40 | +23.6% | -4.4% | -15.7% | +6.0% | +70.6% |
| 2020-02-19 beat | 0.50 | 0.73 | +47.1% | +12.9% | +16.6% | -36.4% | -78.2% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 3.64 | 2.96 | -18.6% | -8.3% | -6.6% | +10.8% | +5.7% |
| 2019-08-05 beat | 0.74 | 0.79 | +7.1% | -1.2% | -0.6% | -13.2% | -24.8% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | -1.00 | -0.78 | +22.0% | -3.7% | +3.2% | -4.0% | -21.0% |
| 2019-02-20 miss | 0.24 | 0.16 | -33.0% | +15.3% | +17.1% | +4.0% | -3.5% |
| 2018-11-05 miss | 3.35 | 2.68 | -19.9% | -8.1% | -4.9% | +5.7% | -11.2% |
| 2018-08-07 beat | 0.57 | 0.57 | +0.0% | -7.1% | -15.2% | +4.0% | -3.2% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | -1.02 | -0.74 | +27.4% | +0.0% | -11.6% | -0.6% | -11.8% |
| 2018-02-21 beat | 0.07 | 2.65 | +3528.2% | +12.4% | +13.4% | +0.3% | +4.1% |
| 2017-11-06 beat | 2.90 | 2.91 | +0.4% | -8.3% | -15.1% | -7.4% | +16.0% |
| 2017-08-07 miss | 0.29 | 0.04 | -86.1% | -4.3% | -9.9% | +16.3% | +22.0% |
| 2017-05-03 miss | -0.60 | -1.25 | -106.7% | -2.7% | -3.5% | -14.5% | -28.0% |
| 2017-02-15 miss | 0.18 | 0.15 | -15.7% | -10.2% | -12.1% | -9.2% | -10.4% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 2.33 | 2.47 | +6.0% | +1.5% | +12.8% | +3.9% | +7.3% |
| 2016-08-02 miss | 0.71 | 0.63 | -11.8% | +6.2% | +6.1% | +2.5% | -2.2% |
| 2016-05-03 miss | -0.07 | -0.28 | -302.3% | +7.5% | +6.2% | +4.5% | +21.5% |
| 2016-02-23 miss | 0.17 | -0.06 | -135.2% | -17.0% | -26.5% | +26.0% | +22.7% |
| 2015-11-02 miss | 1.98 | 1.77 | -10.6% | -8.3% | -11.4% | -10.0% | -23.0% |
| 2015-08-03 beat | 0.68 | 0.84 | +24.3% | +2.0% | +4.0% | -7.6% | -3.6% |
| 2015-05-04 beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +23.6% | -1.3% | -3.7% | -5.1% | -4.9% |
| 2015-02-18 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +13.2% | +0.6% | +3.5% | -6.1% | -9.2% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 1.80 | 1.91 | +6.2% | -1.0% | -1.3% | +4.3% | +5.5% |
| 2014-08-04 beat | 0.61 | 0.68 | +11.0% | +4.1% | +2.6% | +9.1% | +10.2% |
| 2014-05-07 beat | 0.08 | 0.16 | +107.4% | +2.0% | -4.1% | +6.3% | +14.6% |
| 2014-02-19 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +20.4% | +0.2% | +9.0% | +9.8% | +12.6% |
| 2013-10-30 miss | 1.52 | 1.48 | -2.3% | +4.7% | +9.2% | -1.3% | +18.4% |
| 2013-08-06 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.7% | -4.2% | -4.8% | -1.4% | -5.3% |
| 2013-05-01 beat | 0.02 | 0.08 | +326.7% | -4.9% | +1.2% | +4.9% | +15.3% |
| 2013-02-13 miss | -0.17 | -0.43 | -152.9% | -3.7% | +5.4% | -2.7% | +15.3% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 1.46 | 2.38 | +63.0% | -1.3% | -4.3% | +1.1% | +16.3% |
| 2012-08-01 beat | 0.70 | 0.94 | +34.5% | +2.3% | +9.8% | +1.4% | +6.1% |
| 2012-05-07 miss | 0.12 | 0.12 | -2.7% | -2.1% | +4.4% | -6.9% | -18.1% |
| 2012-02-15 miss | 0.06 | -1.62 | -2958.7% | -7.8% | -13.8% | +5.6% | +13.1% |
| 2011-11-02 miss | 1.00 | 0.65 | -34.8% | +1.7% | -4.0% | -2.2% | -8.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.