CASY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +5.0% | +5.0% | 10.2% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 2.0% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.8% | 2.0% | 30% |
| 5-day | +7.2% | +7.6% | 5.6% | 89% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 beat | 6.82 | 7.37 | +8.1% | -14.5% | -14.2% | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 beat | 3.31 | 4.37 | +32.1% | +5.2% | +20.3% | -7.1% | -6.2% |
| 2026-03-09 beat | 2.99 | 3.49 | +16.9% | -2.0% | +3.8% | +0.3% | +10.0% |
| 2025-12-09 beat | 5.20 | 5.53 | +6.3% | -4.4% | -5.3% | +4.0% | +13.0% |
| 2025-09-08 beat | 5.00 | 5.77 | +15.3% | -1.4% | +3.8% | +3.7% | +2.3% |
| 2025-06-09 beat | 1.92 | 2.63 | +37.3% | +12.9% | +11.6% | +3.6% | +5.4% |
| 2025-03-11 beat | 2.09 | 2.33 | +11.6% | +3.6% | +6.2% | +0.0% | +8.9% |
| 2024-12-09 beat | 4.27 | 4.85 | +13.5% | +0.4% | -0.3% | +1.1% | -5.8% |
| 2024-09-04 beat | 4.51 | 4.83 | +7.2% | +1.0% | +7.4% | +0.3% | -2.7% |
| 2024-06-11 beat | 1.70 | 2.34 | +37.5% | +11.2% | +16.7% | -3.3% | -0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.