CASY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | -0.3% | 7.7% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -1.0% | 2.5% | 37% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +0.8% | 7.7% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 beat | 6.82 | 7.37 | +8.1% | -14.5% | -14.2% | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 beat | 3.31 | 4.37 | +32.1% | +5.2% | +20.3% | -7.1% | -6.2% |
| 2026-03-09 beat | 2.99 | 3.49 | +16.9% | -2.0% | +3.8% | +0.3% | +10.0% |
| 2025-12-09 beat | 5.20 | 5.53 | +6.3% | -4.4% | -5.3% | +4.0% | +13.0% |
| 2025-09-08 beat | 5.00 | 5.77 | +15.3% | -1.4% | +3.8% | +3.7% | +2.3% |
| 2025-06-09 beat | 1.92 | 2.63 | +37.3% | +12.9% | +11.6% | +3.6% | +5.4% |
| 2025-03-11 beat | 2.09 | 2.33 | +11.6% | +3.6% | +6.2% | +0.0% | +8.9% |
| 2024-12-09 beat | 4.27 | 4.85 | +13.5% | +0.4% | -0.3% | +1.1% | -5.8% |
| 2024-09-04 beat | 4.51 | 4.83 | +7.2% | +1.0% | +7.4% | +0.3% | -2.7% |
| 2024-06-11 beat | 1.70 | 2.34 | +37.5% | +11.2% | +16.7% | -3.3% | -0.4% |
| 2024-03-11 beat | 2.14 | 2.33 | +8.8% | -0.9% | -1.6% | +5.1% | +5.4% |
| 2023-12-11 beat | 3.76 | 4.24 | +12.8% | -1.2% | -0.4% | +0.4% | +5.4% |
| 2023-09-11 beat | 3.36 | 4.52 | +34.6% | +6.9% | +11.2% | +5.1% | +2.2% |
| 2023-06-06 miss | 1.63 | 1.49 | -8.4% | -2.7% | -2.9% | +1.2% | +11.3% |
| 2023-03-07 beat | 2.00 | 2.67 | +33.8% | +4.4% | +3.9% | -4.7% | -1.3% |
| 2022-12-06 beat | 3.20 | 3.67 | +14.7% | +2.1% | +7.4% | -0.9% | -9.5% |
| 2022-09-07 beat | 3.68 | 4.09 | +11.1% | -3.3% | -0.7% | -2.4% | -9.0% |
| 2022-06-07 beat | 1.59 | 1.60 | +0.3% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -5.7% | -1.2% |
| 2022-03-08 beat | 1.45 | 1.71 | +17.7% | +1.8% | +7.8% | +0.9% | +12.2% |
| 2021-12-07 miss | 2.96 | 2.59 | -12.6% | -6.8% | -6.9% | +2.0% | +4.9% |
| 2021-09-07 beat | 3.02 | 3.19 | +5.5% | -0.6% | -4.8% | +0.0% | -1.8% |
| 2021-06-08 beat | 0.88 | 1.12 | +27.2% | -3.9% | -4.6% | +0.0% | -3.7% |
| 2021-03-08 beat | 0.99 | 1.04 | +4.8% | -0.4% | -2.4% | +5.1% | +10.0% |
| 2020-12-07 beat | 2.76 | 3.00 | +8.8% | -1.5% | -3.4% | -2.9% | +1.9% |
| 2020-09-08 beat | 2.06 | 3.24 | +56.9% | +0.1% | -2.2% | +3.1% | +7.3% |
| 2020-06-08 miss | 1.70 | 1.67 | -1.9% | -4.7% | -4.8% | -3.9% | -6.1% |
| 2020-03-09 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +1.8% | -0.9% | +1.7% | -6.8% | -19.2% |
| 2019-12-09 beat | 2.15 | 2.21 | +2.8% | -5.9% | -9.5% | -1.2% | +5.9% |
| 2019-09-09 beat | 2.01 | 2.31 | +15.1% | -1.5% | +1.6% | -2.2% | -5.4% |
| 2019-06-10 beat | 0.50 | 0.68 | +34.8% | +10.5% | +10.0% | +4.1% | +7.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.