CASY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -0.3% | 6.7% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.4% | 7.0% | 54% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 beat | 6.82 | 7.37 | +8.1% | -14.5% | -14.2% | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 beat | 3.31 | 4.37 | +32.1% | +5.2% | +20.3% | -7.1% | -6.2% |
| 2026-03-09 beat | 2.99 | 3.49 | +16.9% | -2.0% | +3.8% | +0.3% | +10.0% |
| 2025-12-09 beat | 5.20 | 5.53 | +6.3% | -4.4% | -5.3% | +4.0% | +13.0% |
| 2025-09-08 beat | 5.00 | 5.77 | +15.3% | -1.4% | +3.8% | +3.7% | +2.3% |
| 2025-06-09 beat | 1.92 | 2.63 | +37.3% | +12.9% | +11.6% | +3.6% | +5.4% |
| 2025-03-11 beat | 2.09 | 2.33 | +11.6% | +3.6% | +6.2% | +0.0% | +8.9% |
| 2024-12-09 beat | 4.27 | 4.85 | +13.5% | +0.4% | -0.3% | +1.1% | -5.8% |
| 2024-09-04 beat | 4.51 | 4.83 | +7.2% | +1.0% | +7.4% | +0.3% | -2.7% |
| 2024-06-11 beat | 1.70 | 2.34 | +37.5% | +11.2% | +16.7% | -3.3% | -0.4% |
| 2024-03-11 beat | 2.14 | 2.33 | +8.8% | -0.9% | -1.6% | +5.1% | +5.4% |
| 2023-12-11 beat | 3.76 | 4.24 | +12.8% | -1.2% | -0.4% | +0.4% | +5.4% |
| 2023-09-11 beat | 3.36 | 4.52 | +34.6% | +6.9% | +11.2% | +5.1% | +2.2% |
| 2023-06-06 miss | 1.63 | 1.49 | -8.4% | -2.7% | -2.9% | +1.2% | +11.3% |
| 2023-03-07 beat | 2.00 | 2.67 | +33.8% | +4.4% | +3.9% | -4.7% | -1.3% |
| 2022-12-06 beat | 3.20 | 3.67 | +14.7% | +2.1% | +7.4% | -0.9% | -9.5% |
| 2022-09-07 beat | 3.68 | 4.09 | +11.1% | -3.3% | -0.7% | -2.4% | -9.0% |
| 2022-06-07 beat | 1.59 | 1.60 | +0.3% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -5.7% | -1.2% |
| 2022-03-08 beat | 1.45 | 1.71 | +17.7% | +1.8% | +7.8% | +0.9% | +12.2% |
| 2021-12-07 miss | 2.96 | 2.59 | -12.6% | -6.8% | -6.9% | +2.0% | +4.9% |
| 2021-09-07 beat | 3.02 | 3.19 | +5.5% | -0.6% | -4.8% | +0.0% | -1.8% |
| 2021-06-08 beat | 0.88 | 1.12 | +27.2% | -3.9% | -4.6% | +0.0% | -3.7% |
| 2021-03-08 beat | 0.99 | 1.04 | +4.8% | -0.4% | -2.4% | +5.1% | +10.0% |
| 2020-12-07 beat | 2.76 | 3.00 | +8.8% | -1.5% | -3.4% | -2.9% | +1.9% |
| 2020-09-08 beat | 2.06 | 3.24 | +56.9% | +0.1% | -2.2% | +3.1% | +7.3% |
| 2020-06-08 miss | 1.70 | 1.67 | -1.9% | -4.7% | -4.8% | -3.9% | -6.1% |
| 2020-03-09 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +1.8% | -0.9% | +1.7% | -6.8% | -19.2% |
| 2019-12-09 beat | 2.15 | 2.21 | +2.8% | -5.9% | -9.5% | -1.2% | +5.9% |
| 2019-09-09 beat | 2.01 | 2.31 | +15.1% | -1.5% | +1.6% | -2.2% | -5.4% |
| 2019-06-10 beat | 0.50 | 0.68 | +34.8% | +10.5% | +10.0% | +4.1% | +7.9% |
| 2019-03-11 beat | 0.98 | 1.13 | +15.8% | +2.8% | +0.4% | -4.0% | -1.3% |
| 2018-12-10 beat | 1.64 | 1.80 | +10.0% | -2.4% | +8.2% | +0.6% | +1.2% |
| 2018-09-10 beat | 1.67 | 1.90 | +13.7% | +2.7% | +6.8% | +2.4% | -1.6% |
| 2018-06-12 miss | 0.66 | 0.51 | -22.8% | -2.1% | +0.3% | +4.0% | +12.7% |
| 2018-03-07 miss | 0.64 | 0.48 | -24.7% | -2.2% | +1.3% | -0.9% | -4.8% |
| 2017-12-11 miss | 1.41 | 1.28 | -9.1% | -5.6% | -11.6% | +0.7% | +15.9% |
| 2017-09-05 beat | 1.45 | 1.46 | +0.6% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +0.3% | +4.0% |
| 2017-06-05 miss | 0.84 | 0.76 | -9.6% | -4.1% | -8.4% | +1.9% | -2.8% |
| 2017-03-06 miss | 0.88 | 0.58 | -34.2% | -5.2% | -3.9% | -0.6% | -0.2% |
| 2016-12-07 miss | 1.58 | 1.44 | -9.1% | -5.0% | -1.8% | +2.2% | -3.7% |
| 2016-09-06 miss | 1.83 | 1.70 | -6.9% | -9.0% | -9.1% | -2.2% | -2.4% |
| 2016-06-06 miss | 1.22 | 1.19 | -2.1% | -2.0% | -3.3% | -1.7% | +10.5% |
| 2016-03-07 beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +6.9% | -2.3% | +2.2% | +2.5% | +5.4% |
| 2015-12-07 beat | 1.51 | 2.00 | +32.4% | +0.6% | +4.6% | +1.1% | -7.4% |
| 2015-09-08 beat | 1.39 | 1.57 | +13.0% | +3.2% | -0.3% | +3.1% | -2.0% |
| 2015-06-08 beat | 0.84 | 1.05 | +25.5% | +5.0% | +6.3% | +0.0% | +4.6% |
| 2015-03-09 beat | 0.71 | 1.01 | +41.5% | -4.7% | -3.5% | +0.6% | +1.4% |
| 2014-12-10 beat | 1.17 | 1.28 | +9.1% | +0.8% | +4.0% | +2.7% | +8.0% |
| 2014-09-08 beat | 1.25 | 1.34 | +7.1% | +3.5% | -1.8% | -0.9% | +8.8% |
| 2014-06-09 beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +12.3% | -4.3% | +0.5% | -4.1% | -8.2% |
| 2014-03-10 miss | 0.49 | 0.38 | -22.6% | -2.1% | -2.4% | +6.0% | +4.2% |
| 2013-12-09 miss | 1.15 | 1.06 | -8.0% | -1.6% | -6.2% | +0.4% | -5.0% |
| 2013-09-09 beat | 1.24 | 1.43 | +15.2% | +1.7% | +2.2% | +1.0% | +2.5% |
| 2013-06-13 miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -5.2% | -1.6% | -4.1% | -4.3% | +12.0% |
| 2013-03-11 miss | 0.48 | 0.42 | -11.6% | -2.4% | -2.6% | +2.9% | +0.3% |
| 2012-12-10 beat | 0.85 | 0.85 | +0.1% | +1.4% | +5.5% | +1.3% | +3.4% |
| 2012-09-10 beat | 0.94 | 1.01 | +8.0% | +7.8% | +4.2% | +1.5% | -9.4% |
| 2012-06-12 miss | 0.67 | 0.60 | -10.7% | -8.4% | -12.9% | +4.7% | +18.1% |
| 2012-03-05 miss | 0.44 | 0.43 | -2.9% | -0.8% | -1.5% | +4.9% | +9.7% |
| 2011-12-06 | 0.98 | 0.98 | — | -1.0% | -5.1% | -6.0% | +4.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.