CMI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 4.6% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +0.5% | 2.9% | 65% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 1.9% | 35% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +0.9% | 5.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 7.17 | 6.73 | -6.1% | -10.8% | -2.0% | -0.5% | -13.4% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 5.65 | 6.15 | +8.8% | +4.1% | +2.8% | +4.4% | +0.5% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 5.08 | 5.81 | +14.3% | -6.8% | -10.7% | +8.9% | +1.8% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 4.77 | 3.86 | -19.0% | +5.0% | +5.4% | +1.0% | +9.7% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 5.21 | 6.43 | +23.5% | +3.7% | +3.2% | +6.9% | +7.4% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 4.92 | 5.96 | +21.0% | -3.0% | +0.8% | +9.4% | +6.8% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 4.69 | 4.54 | -3.3% | +3.7% | +4.4% | +2.5% | -5.1% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 4.81 | 5.86 | +21.9% | +0.7% | +8.9% | +0.2% | +6.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 4.76 | 5.26 | +10.4% | +4.5% | +4.9% | -2.9% | +2.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 4.96 | 5.10 | +2.7% | -1.4% | -1.3% | +5.1% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 4.47 | 4.14 | -7.3% | +0.5% | +4.3% | +1.2% | +5.8% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 4.68 | 4.74 | +1.1% | +2.6% | -0.1% | -1.1% | +6.1% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 5.22 | 5.18 | -0.8% | -9.6% | -7.5% | -2.2% | -2.5% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 4.71 | 5.65 | +20.0% | +1.2% | -3.0% | -2.9% | -9.1% |
| 2023-02-06 miss | 4.52 | 4.51 | -0.1% | +0.6% | -2.0% | -0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 4.82 | 3.44 | -28.6% | -7.9% | -3.5% | +4.0% | +5.4% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 4.34 | 4.77 | +9.9% | +0.5% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 3.55 | 4.04 | +13.7% | +0.0% | +3.7% | -2.3% | +4.7% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 3.14 | 2.73 | -13.0% | -3.3% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -16.6% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 3.93 | 3.69 | -6.0% | +0.2% | -1.2% | -2.5% | -10.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.