CMI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 4.3% | 48% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 2.5% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.5% | 5.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 7.17 | 6.73 | -6.1% | -10.8% | -2.0% | -0.5% | -13.4% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 5.65 | 6.15 | +8.8% | +4.1% | +2.8% | +4.4% | +0.5% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 5.08 | 5.81 | +14.3% | -6.8% | -10.7% | +8.9% | +1.8% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 4.77 | 3.86 | -19.0% | +5.0% | +5.4% | +1.0% | +9.7% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 5.21 | 6.43 | +23.5% | +3.7% | +3.2% | +6.9% | +7.4% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 4.92 | 5.96 | +21.0% | -3.0% | +0.8% | +9.4% | +6.8% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 4.69 | 4.54 | -3.3% | +3.7% | +4.4% | +2.5% | -5.1% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 4.81 | 5.86 | +21.9% | +0.7% | +8.9% | +0.2% | +6.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 4.76 | 5.26 | +10.4% | +4.5% | +4.9% | -2.9% | +2.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 4.96 | 5.10 | +2.7% | -1.4% | -1.3% | +5.1% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 4.47 | 4.14 | -7.3% | +0.5% | +4.3% | +1.2% | +5.8% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 4.68 | 4.74 | +1.1% | +2.6% | -0.1% | -1.1% | +6.1% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 5.22 | 5.18 | -0.8% | -9.6% | -7.5% | -2.2% | -2.5% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 4.71 | 5.65 | +20.0% | +1.2% | -3.0% | -2.9% | -9.1% |
| 2023-02-06 miss | 4.52 | 4.51 | -0.1% | +0.6% | -2.0% | -0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 4.82 | 3.44 | -28.6% | -7.9% | -3.5% | +4.0% | +5.4% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 4.34 | 4.77 | +9.9% | +0.5% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 3.55 | 4.04 | +13.7% | +0.0% | +3.7% | -2.3% | +4.7% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 3.14 | 2.73 | -13.0% | -3.3% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -16.6% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 3.93 | 3.69 | -6.0% | +0.2% | -1.2% | -2.5% | -10.9% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 4.05 | 4.10 | +1.2% | +0.0% | +1.7% | +0.3% | +0.8% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 3.47 | 4.07 | +17.4% | -0.3% | +0.8% | +3.6% | +2.1% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 2.80 | 3.36 | +20.2% | -0.2% | -1.5% | +4.8% | +15.8% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 2.45 | 3.36 | +36.9% | +4.6% | -0.4% | +5.6% | +4.8% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 1.00 | 1.86 | +86.1% | +2.4% | +2.1% | -1.0% | +7.2% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 2.23 | 3.41 | +53.0% | +6.8% | +6.4% | -4.5% | +5.4% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 2.46 | 2.56 | +4.1% | +2.5% | -1.2% | +2.0% | -7.7% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 3.84 | 3.88 | +1.0% | -3.0% | -1.6% | +1.6% | +4.3% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 4.44 | 4.27 | -3.8% | -6.6% | -5.1% | -6.5% | -11.8% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 3.51 | 4.20 | +19.5% | +2.1% | +1.3% | -0.4% | -4.7% |
| 2019-02-06 miss | 3.81 | 3.48 | -8.7% | -1.6% | -0.3% | +2.2% | +3.5% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 3.76 | 4.05 | +7.7% | -1.3% | +2.3% | +8.0% | +10.3% |
| 2018-07-31 miss | 3.59 | 3.32 | -7.5% | -0.2% | +4.1% | +0.5% | +0.8% |
| 2018-05-01 miss | 2.94 | 2.43 | -17.3% | -3.7% | -4.1% | -4.8% | -7.1% |
| 2018-02-06 miss | 2.66 | -1.66 | -162.5% | -3.0% | -2.3% | -5.3% | -8.9% |
| 2017-10-31 beat | 2.46 | 2.71 | +10.1% | -2.1% | -1.9% | -2.8% | -5.4% |
| 2017-08-01 miss | 2.56 | 2.53 | -1.2% | -4.8% | -6.2% | +1.5% | +0.2% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 1.84 | 2.36 | +28.3% | +7.5% | +6.1% | -1.8% | +0.0% |
| 2017-02-09 beat | 2.01 | 2.25 | +11.9% | +0.0% | +3.1% | +1.4% | +1.8% |
| 2016-11-01 miss | 1.95 | 1.72 | -11.9% | -3.5% | -4.3% | +7.0% | +16.6% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 2.18 | 2.40 | +10.0% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +4.0% | +3.8% |
| 2016-05-03 beat | 1.78 | 1.87 | +5.3% | -1.1% | +1.8% | -3.2% | -2.9% |
| 2016-02-04 miss | 2.09 | 0.92 | -55.9% | +0.6% | +7.6% | -2.4% | +7.7% |
| 2015-10-27 miss | 2.61 | 2.14 | -17.9% | -10.1% | -8.7% | +4.9% | -2.7% |
| 2015-07-28 beat | 2.56 | 2.62 | +2.3% | +4.4% | +3.4% | -1.6% | -7.2% |
| 2015-04-28 miss | 2.15 | 2.04 | -4.9% | -2.0% | -1.4% | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2015-02-05 beat | 2.51 | 2.56 | +1.9% | -4.0% | -4.2% | -1.1% | +2.1% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 2.28 | 2.32 | +1.9% | +4.1% | +6.8% | -2.0% | +3.0% |
| 2014-07-28 beat | 2.39 | 2.43 | +1.9% | -1.4% | -3.2% | -3.6% | -0.8% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 1.68 | 1.83 | +9.1% | +4.0% | +3.9% | -1.6% | +1.1% |
| 2014-02-06 miss | 1.98 | 1.94 | -1.8% | -2.5% | +3.2% | +7.8% | +10.0% |
| 2013-10-29 miss | 2.11 | 1.94 | -8.1% | -7.5% | -5.2% | +3.0% | +3.7% |
| 2013-07-30 beat | 2.00 | 2.20 | +10.2% | +3.1% | +1.5% | +3.3% | +3.8% |
| 2013-04-30 miss | 1.85 | 1.44 | -22.0% | -2.5% | -6.1% | +6.2% | +10.6% |
| 2013-02-20 beat | 1.74 | 1.95 | +12.0% | -0.7% | -3.4% | +0.8% | -0.7% |
| 2012-10-31 miss | 1.90 | 1.78 | -6.5% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +4.8% | +4.9% |
| 2012-07-31 beat | 2.30 | 2.47 | +7.4% | +3.9% | +6.0% | +5.3% | +1.9% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 2.21 | 2.38 | +7.6% | -1.6% | -4.0% | -3.8% | -12.8% |
| 2012-02-02 beat | 2.27 | 2.56 | +13.0% | +5.6% | +7.1% | +7.0% | +6.2% |
| 2011-10-25 miss | 2.24 | 2.20 | -1.8% | -6.8% | -5.1% | +2.4% | -7.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.