EL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -5.7% | -3.0% | 11.6% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.0% | 3.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 3.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | -2.9% | -5.2% | 14.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +22.1% | +11.2% | +16.3% | +7.2% | — |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.65 | 0.91 | +40.2% | +12.1% | +3.4% | +8.7% | +5.2% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +6.6% | -12.4% | -19.2% | +10.1% | -4.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.18 | 0.32 | +81.9% | -2.8% | +0.3% | -10.1% | -3.0% |
| 2025-08-20 beat | 0.09 | 0.09 | +1.1% | -4.3% | -3.7% | +7.0% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.31 | 0.65 | +108.8% | -1.4% | -1.8% | +4.0% | +13.2% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 0.32 | 0.62 | +93.8% | -7.6% | -16.1% | +1.8% | +3.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +46.8% | -24.4% | -20.9% | -3.8% | +10.2% |
| 2024-08-19 beat | 0.25 | 0.64 | +151.0% | +0.1% | -2.2% | +1.8% | -5.2% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.50 | 0.97 | +95.7% | -4.3% | -13.2% | +1.7% | -3.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.