EL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.3% | 8.4% | 48% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 2.5% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 2.3% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +0.4% | 9.0% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +22.1% | +11.2% | +16.3% | +7.2% | — |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.65 | 0.91 | +40.2% | +12.1% | +3.4% | +8.7% | +5.2% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +6.6% | -12.4% | -19.2% | +10.1% | -4.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.18 | 0.32 | +81.9% | -2.8% | +0.3% | -10.1% | -3.0% |
| 2025-08-20 beat | 0.09 | 0.09 | +1.1% | -4.3% | -3.7% | +7.0% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.31 | 0.65 | +108.8% | -1.4% | -1.8% | +4.0% | +13.2% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 0.32 | 0.62 | +93.8% | -7.6% | -16.1% | +1.8% | +3.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +46.8% | -24.4% | -20.9% | -3.8% | +10.2% |
| 2024-08-19 beat | 0.25 | 0.64 | +151.0% | +0.1% | -2.2% | +1.8% | -5.2% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.50 | 0.97 | +95.7% | -4.3% | -13.2% | +1.7% | -3.1% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 0.56 | 0.88 | +57.5% | +18.9% | +12.0% | -2.9% | -3.2% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | -0.20 | 0.11 | +156.4% | -15.2% | -18.9% | +11.6% | +26.2% |
| 2023-08-18 beat | -0.04 | 0.07 | +286.7% | -6.2% | -3.3% | -2.2% | -3.0% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 0.51 | 0.47 | -7.7% | -20.9% | -17.3% | -0.7% | -7.1% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 1.29 | 1.54 | +19.1% | -2.5% | -4.4% | -5.9% | -6.2% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 1.31 | 1.37 | +4.3% | -7.3% | -8.1% | +7.8% | +25.8% |
| 2022-08-18 beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +14.0% | -2.0% | +1.8% | -1.5% | -14.2% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.67 | 1.90 | +13.4% | -12.7% | -5.8% | -6.5% | +7.7% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 2.64 | 3.01 | +14.1% | -4.5% | -5.0% | +4.1% | -12.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.70 | 1.89 | +11.2% | -2.8% | +4.1% | +2.5% | -1.2% |
| 2021-08-19 beat | 0.50 | 0.78 | +54.9% | +0.0% | +2.6% | +2.8% | -5.1% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 1.32 | 1.62 | +22.5% | -3.6% | -7.9% | +3.3% | +5.1% |
| 2021-02-05 beat | 1.69 | 2.61 | +54.6% | +8.9% | +7.8% | +6.4% | +2.6% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.90 | 1.44 | +59.9% | +6.3% | +1.9% | +10.0% | +9.6% |
| 2020-08-20 miss | -0.17 | -0.53 | -203.3% | -6.9% | -6.7% | +9.1% | +4.8% |
| 2020-05-01 beat | 0.76 | 0.85 | +11.4% | -3.3% | -2.2% | +0.4% | +17.5% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 1.90 | 2.11 | +11.0% | +4.8% | +5.1% | +1.6% | -15.9% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 1.60 | 1.67 | +4.7% | -3.6% | -3.6% | +0.5% | +5.0% |
| 2019-08-19 beat | 0.54 | 0.64 | +19.3% | +8.9% | +12.5% | -0.7% | -4.8% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 1.30 | 1.55 | +19.4% | +4.8% | -0.9% | -2.1% | -5.4% |
| 2019-02-05 beat | 1.54 | 1.74 | +12.7% | +9.4% | +11.6% | +0.6% | +2.2% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 1.23 | 1.41 | +15.0% | +9.3% | +4.7% | +3.6% | +3.8% |
| 2018-08-20 beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +8.8% | +3.8% | +3.4% | -1.6% | -0.6% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | 1.07 | 1.17 | +9.5% | -3.4% | -8.5% | +3.9% | +11.9% |
| 2018-02-02 beat | 1.44 | 1.52 | +5.2% | +3.1% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +6.2% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | 0.97 | 1.21 | +24.6% | +7.5% | +9.2% | +0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2017-08-18 beat | 0.43 | 0.51 | +18.3% | +4.6% | +7.7% | +0.5% | +4.2% |
| 2017-05-03 beat | 0.73 | 0.91 | +24.9% | +3.1% | +4.4% | +3.0% | +5.3% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | 1.17 | 1.22 | +4.2% | +3.7% | +2.6% | +0.8% | +0.9% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +5.4% | -3.5% | -5.4% | -1.5% | -7.1% |
| 2016-08-19 beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +8.4% | -3.4% | -3.5% | -0.9% | -4.8% |
| 2016-05-03 beat | 0.61 | 0.73 | +19.6% | -3.0% | -4.0% | +2.4% | -0.1% |
| 2016-02-05 beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +10.2% | +0.4% | +4.6% | -2.9% | +0.8% |
| 2015-11-02 beat | 0.70 | 0.82 | +17.7% | +5.3% | +8.1% | -2.7% | -3.7% |
| 2015-08-17 beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +16.8% | -2.2% | -6.8% | -7.5% | -5.7% |
| 2015-05-05 beat | 0.51 | 0.72 | +40.5% | +5.0% | +4.0% | +0.8% | +0.6% |
| 2015-02-05 beat | 1.05 | 1.13 | +7.6% | +2.8% | +8.1% | +3.2% | +5.7% |
| 2014-11-04 beat | 0.55 | 0.80 | +44.7% | -3.7% | -5.2% | +1.0% | +3.3% |
| 2014-08-15 beat | 0.55 | 0.66 | +19.8% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -1.9% |
| 2014-05-02 beat | 0.54 | 0.64 | +17.4% | +2.9% | +4.8% | -3.1% | +1.4% |
| 2014-02-05 beat | 1.06 | 1.09 | +2.5% | +0.5% | -5.5% | +2.3% | +7.1% |
| 2013-10-31 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.8% | +2.7% | -0.6% | -0.9% | +5.5% |
| 2013-08-15 beat | 0.21 | 0.24 | +11.8% | +2.7% | +3.4% | -0.1% | +5.6% |
| 2013-05-02 beat | 0.33 | 0.45 | +35.1% | -2.5% | +2.6% | -1.9% | -4.4% |
| 2013-02-05 beat | 1.05 | 1.16 | +10.8% | +5.3% | +6.0% | -3.2% | +1.8% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +3.1% | -3.5% | -0.7% | -6.3% | -3.2% |
| 2012-08-14 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +4.6% | +5.8% | +9.3% | +0.4% | +0.8% |
| 2012-05-04 beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +14.0% | -3.4% | -5.3% | -4.2% | -10.8% |
| 2012-02-03 miss | 1.01 | 1.01 | -0.4% | -5.7% | -2.3% | -1.0% | +1.1% |
| 2011-11-03 beat | 0.59 | 0.71 | +19.1% | +13.0% | +17.9% | -2.5% | -3.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.