EL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.1% | -2.8% | 9.5% | 37% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.5% | 3.2% | 63% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 3.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -1.0% | 10.7% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +22.1% | +11.2% | +16.3% | +7.2% | — |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.65 | 0.91 | +40.2% | +12.1% | +3.4% | +8.7% | +5.2% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +6.6% | -12.4% | -19.2% | +10.1% | -4.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.18 | 0.32 | +81.9% | -2.8% | +0.3% | -10.1% | -3.0% |
| 2025-08-20 beat | 0.09 | 0.09 | +1.1% | -4.3% | -3.7% | +7.0% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.31 | 0.65 | +108.8% | -1.4% | -1.8% | +4.0% | +13.2% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 0.32 | 0.62 | +93.8% | -7.6% | -16.1% | +1.8% | +3.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +46.8% | -24.4% | -20.9% | -3.8% | +10.2% |
| 2024-08-19 beat | 0.25 | 0.64 | +151.0% | +0.1% | -2.2% | +1.8% | -5.2% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.50 | 0.97 | +95.7% | -4.3% | -13.2% | +1.7% | -3.1% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 0.56 | 0.88 | +57.5% | +18.9% | +12.0% | -2.9% | -3.2% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | -0.20 | 0.11 | +156.4% | -15.2% | -18.9% | +11.6% | +26.2% |
| 2023-08-18 beat | -0.04 | 0.07 | +286.7% | -6.2% | -3.3% | -2.2% | -3.0% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 0.51 | 0.47 | -7.7% | -20.9% | -17.3% | -0.7% | -7.1% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 1.29 | 1.54 | +19.1% | -2.5% | -4.4% | -5.9% | -6.2% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 1.31 | 1.37 | +4.3% | -7.3% | -8.1% | +7.8% | +25.8% |
| 2022-08-18 beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +14.0% | -2.0% | +1.8% | -1.5% | -14.2% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.67 | 1.90 | +13.4% | -12.7% | -5.8% | -6.5% | +7.7% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 2.64 | 3.01 | +14.1% | -4.5% | -5.0% | +4.1% | -12.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.70 | 1.89 | +11.2% | -2.8% | +4.1% | +2.5% | -1.2% |
| 2021-08-19 beat | 0.50 | 0.78 | +54.9% | +0.0% | +2.6% | +2.8% | -5.1% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 1.32 | 1.62 | +22.5% | -3.6% | -7.9% | +3.3% | +5.1% |
| 2021-02-05 beat | 1.69 | 2.61 | +54.6% | +8.9% | +7.8% | +6.4% | +2.6% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.90 | 1.44 | +59.9% | +6.3% | +1.9% | +10.0% | +9.6% |
| 2020-08-20 miss | -0.17 | -0.53 | -203.3% | -6.9% | -6.7% | +9.1% | +4.8% |
| 2020-05-01 beat | 0.76 | 0.85 | +11.4% | -3.3% | -2.2% | +0.4% | +17.5% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 1.90 | 2.11 | +11.0% | +4.8% | +5.1% | +1.6% | -15.9% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 1.60 | 1.67 | +4.7% | -3.6% | -3.6% | +0.5% | +5.0% |
| 2019-08-19 beat | 0.54 | 0.64 | +19.3% | +8.9% | +12.5% | -0.7% | -4.8% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 1.30 | 1.55 | +19.4% | +4.8% | -0.9% | -2.1% | -5.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.