ERII chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -7.0% | -6.2% | 16.0% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -1.7% | -1.9% | 4.0% | 20% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -1.6% | 4.0% | 30% |
| 5-day | -7.2% | -8.4% | 16.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +14.3% | -5.6% | -1.5% | -10.4% | -12.6% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | -0.07 | -0.11 | -50.0% | -4.1% | -18.8% | -8.6% | -15.5% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 0.67 | 0.53 | -20.9% | -29.0% | -35.3% | +2.9% | -5.4% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +24.1% | -11.1% | -16.0% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +319.9% | +10.0% | +7.6% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | — | -0.14 | -4325.2% | -23.2% | -18.6% | +0.2% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +24.0% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +4.1% | +6.0% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.21 | +55.6% | -5.7% | +0.0% | +11.2% | -10.2% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | -0.08 | 0.09 | +212.5% | +9.9% | +20.6% | -5.6% | -7.7% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +31.9% | +0.0% | -11.0% | +6.6% | +1.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.