ERII chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.1% | -0.8% | 14.7% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.0% | 4.1% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -1.5% | 3.8% | 35% |
| 5-day | -3.0% | +1.2% | 14.7% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +14.3% | -5.6% | -1.5% | -10.4% | -12.6% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | -0.07 | -0.11 | -50.0% | -4.1% | -18.8% | -8.6% | -15.5% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 0.67 | 0.53 | -20.9% | -29.0% | -35.3% | +2.9% | -5.4% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +24.1% | -11.1% | -16.0% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +319.9% | +10.0% | +7.6% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | — | -0.14 | -4325.2% | -23.2% | -18.6% | +0.2% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +24.0% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +4.1% | +6.0% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.21 | +55.6% | -5.7% | +0.0% | +11.2% | -10.2% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | -0.08 | 0.09 | +212.5% | +9.9% | +20.6% | -5.6% | -7.7% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +31.9% | +0.0% | -11.0% | +6.6% | +1.7% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 0.40 | 0.34 | -15.7% | -4.0% | -3.3% | +3.4% | +1.3% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.04 | 0.17 | +325.0% | +10.6% | +22.9% | +0.9% | +5.9% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -20.0% | -13.7% | -14.6% | +6.8% | -2.3% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +17.5% | +3.0% | +5.9% | +4.3% | +9.1% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 0.17 | 0.24 | +41.2% | +4.4% | +4.6% | +3.4% | -0.7% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -12.8% | -9.7% | -27.5% | +11.9% | +25.6% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | -0.04 | — | +100.0% | -1.3% | +2.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.06 | 0.14 | +121.1% | -1.7% | -5.7% | -6.0% | +18.2% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -20.6% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +3.8% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | — | 0.02 | +500.0% | -0.5% | +2.0% | +0.9% | -4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.