ERII chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.3% | 12.9% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 4.9% | 58% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.9% | 3.9% | 37% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +0.5% | 14.3% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +14.3% | -5.6% | -1.5% | -10.4% | -12.6% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | -0.07 | -0.11 | -50.0% | -4.1% | -18.8% | -8.6% | -15.5% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 0.67 | 0.53 | -20.9% | -29.0% | -35.3% | +2.9% | -5.4% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +24.1% | -11.1% | -16.0% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +319.9% | +10.0% | +7.6% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | — | -0.14 | -4325.2% | -23.2% | -18.6% | +0.2% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +24.0% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +4.1% | +6.0% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.21 | +55.6% | -5.7% | +0.0% | +11.2% | -10.2% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | -0.08 | 0.09 | +212.5% | +9.9% | +20.6% | -5.6% | -7.7% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +31.9% | +0.0% | -11.0% | +6.6% | +1.7% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 0.40 | 0.34 | -15.7% | -4.0% | -3.3% | +3.4% | +1.3% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.04 | 0.17 | +325.0% | +10.6% | +22.9% | +0.9% | +5.9% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -20.0% | -13.7% | -14.6% | +6.8% | -2.3% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +17.5% | +3.0% | +5.9% | +4.3% | +9.1% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 0.17 | 0.24 | +41.2% | +4.4% | +4.6% | +3.4% | -0.7% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -12.8% | -9.7% | -27.5% | +11.9% | +25.6% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | -0.04 | — | +100.0% | -1.3% | +2.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.06 | 0.14 | +121.1% | -1.7% | -5.7% | -6.0% | +18.2% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -20.6% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +3.8% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | — | 0.02 | +500.0% | -0.5% | +2.0% | +0.9% | -4.0% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +50.0% | -10.7% | -4.6% | -0.5% | +16.4% |
| 2021-05-07 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +24.1% | -0.5% | -13.8% | +1.0% | +13.1% |
| 2021-03-11 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +33.3% | +2.8% | +2.3% | -4.8% | -5.4% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | 0.04 | 0.10 | +172.7% | +0.5% | -0.9% | +5.3% | +15.4% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +18.9% | +0.7% | +0.0% | +8.4% | +15.4% |
| 2020-05-01 miss | 0.01 | 0.01 | -20.0% | -0.8% | +0.8% | +5.9% | +3.8% |
| 2020-03-05 beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +57.1% | +4.5% | +9.3% | -28.7% | -29.6% |
| 2019-11-01 beat | 0.03 | 0.09 | +260.0% | +1.4% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -9.0% |
| 2019-08-02 beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +55.6% | +1.0% | +2.4% | -13.1% | -18.2% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +66.7% | +6.4% | +13.6% | -2.0% | -6.4% |
| 2019-03-07 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +50.0% | +3.3% | +13.3% | +2.5% | +5.5% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +52.4% | +18.3% | +18.1% | -3.6% | -13.9% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +162.5% | +6.5% | +19.4% | +5.5% | +4.0% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +166.7% | -0.6% | +5.2% | +5.0% | +8.2% |
| 2018-03-07 miss | 0.14 | 0.06 | -58.6% | +3.9% | +14.1% | +11.7% | +2.3% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +600.0% | +1.2% | +12.9% | +10.4% | +26.9% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +25.0% | -2.9% | -9.9% | -7.6% | -3.8% |
| 2017-05-03 miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -200.0% | -0.9% | -4.1% | -0.6% | -2.6% |
| 2017-03-08 beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +50.0% | +4.7% | -5.8% | +4.2% | +0.4% |
| 2016-11-02 miss | 0.14 | -0.01 | -107.0% | -17.0% | -22.6% | +15.3% | +17.6% |
| 2016-08-03 beat | -0.04 | 0.01 | +128.6% | +2.0% | +14.7% | +10.0% | +2.9% |
| 2016-05-04 beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +33.3% | -2.7% | -9.4% | -0.5% | +0.2% |
| 2016-03-03 miss | 0.36 | 0.01 | -97.2% | -9.1% | -1.7% | +24.9% | +38.9% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +74.4% | +4.0% | +16.2% | -13.2% | -20.2% |
| 2015-08-06 beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +21.7% | +6.1% | +5.4% | +4.0% | -6.9% |
| 2015-05-07 miss | -0.06 | -0.16 | -152.6% | -2.8% | -2.4% | +5.0% | -5.7% |
| 2015-03-05 miss | 0.04 | -0.09 | -325.0% | -1.2% | -14.4% | +9.3% | +23.3% |
| 2014-11-10 miss | -0.08 | -0.11 | -43.5% | -23.7% | -11.0% | +10.6% | +5.2% |
| 2014-08-06 miss | -0.04 | -0.09 | -100.0% | -3.1% | -6.1% | +11.6% | +13.1% |
| 2014-05-07 miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -154.6% | -9.9% | -12.3% | -3.6% | +30.7% |
| 2014-03-05 beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +62.5% | +21.1% | +36.6% | -10.9% | -22.2% |
| 2013-11-06 miss | -0.02 | -0.08 | -344.4% | -8.8% | -15.2% | +1.5% | +5.5% |
| 2013-07-31 beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +54.0% | +8.7% | +0.9% | +12.7% | +15.9% |
| 2013-05-09 miss | -0.06 | -0.09 | -40.6% | +0.0% | -2.2% | +7.3% | +14.6% |
| 2013-03-06 miss | -0.01 | -0.04 | -147.6% | -2.6% | +2.4% | -16.6% | -25.1% |
| 2012-11-07 miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -73.0% | +3.8% | -2.8% | -12.1% | +15.7% |
| 2012-08-01 beat | -0.05 | 0.01 | +121.5% | +12.4% | +12.9% | +3.0% | +6.3% |
| 2012-05-02 miss | -0.07 | -0.09 | -23.9% | -2.1% | -6.3% | -1.8% | -6.8% |
| 2012-03-08 miss | -0.04 | -0.14 | -233.7% | +0.9% | +3.5% | -3.4% | -15.3% |
| 2011-11-03 miss | -0.08 | -0.21 | -172.9% | -10.1% | -5.4% | -12.7% | -8.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.