ESI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.1% | +2.8% | 4.6% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 2.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | +3.5% | +2.9% | 6.5% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.0% | +1.5% | -3.5% | +6.5% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.1% | +4.9% | +9.7% | +3.9% | -0.3% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.5% | +6.1% | +4.3% | +6.5% | -5.6% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.2% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +2.2% | -1.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +3.9% | -2.2% | +1.9% | +0.3% | +9.0% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +4.2% | +5.0% | +6.8% | +0.5% | +4.2% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.9% | -0.6% | +4.4% | -5.2% | -4.8% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.0% | +2.4% | +3.8% | +0.6% | +2.8% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.1% | -3.0% | -3.0% | -6.0% | +0.5% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +7.9% | -1.3% | -4.2% | +3.8% | +3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.