ESI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | +1.8% | 3.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.9% | 2.6% | 63% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 1.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +2.8% | +2.7% | 5.6% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.0% | +1.5% | -3.5% | +6.5% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.1% | +4.9% | +9.7% | +3.9% | -0.3% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.5% | +6.1% | +4.3% | +6.5% | -5.6% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.2% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +2.2% | -1.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +3.9% | -2.2% | +1.9% | +0.3% | +9.0% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +4.2% | +5.0% | +6.8% | +0.5% | +4.2% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.9% | -0.6% | +4.4% | -5.2% | -4.8% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.0% | +2.4% | +3.8% | +0.6% | +2.8% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.1% | -3.0% | -3.0% | -6.0% | +0.5% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +7.9% | -1.3% | -4.2% | +3.8% | +3.4% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -2.1% | -6.5% | -2.0% | +1.5% | +7.0% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +7.9% | +8.7% | +3.9% | +1.5% | +12.4% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.7% | +1.2% | +3.7% | +0.7% | -1.9% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.4% | -1.5% | +1.8% | -1.6% | +4.2% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +2.1% | +0.6% | +4.5% | +1.7% | -9.8% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +1.9% | +1.1% | -2.1% | -5.6% | +7.7% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +5.1% | -0.6% | -0.2% | +0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +7.2% | +1.6% | +6.4% | -0.7% | +0.0% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +3.9% | +1.6% | -0.3% | +1.2% | -4.9% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.5% | +1.1% | +2.5% | +15.6% | +4.8% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -1.5% | +0.1% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.31 | 0.37 | +19.0% | +2.3% | +3.9% | +4.7% | +9.0% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +9.3% | -1.9% | -5.3% | +4.3% | +7.6% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +8.8% | -2.3% | -4.1% | +3.9% | +22.8% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +29.4% | +0.1% | -5.2% | +2.7% | +5.1% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +24.9% | +3.7% | +3.7% | -0.8% | +6.6% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +11.3% | +5.0% | +1.7% | +0.9% | -23.1% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +21.8% | +4.5% | -0.6% | +5.3% | -4.3% |
| 2019-08-02 beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +9.2% | +1.2% | +4.8% | -1.9% | -4.8% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +8.1% | -1.7% | +0.7% | +1.2% | -13.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.