ESI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.8% | 4.2% | 54% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 2.8% | 54% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 2.1% | 58% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +2.0% | 6.2% | 58% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.0% | +1.5% | -3.5% | +6.5% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.1% | +4.9% | +9.7% | +3.9% | -0.3% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.5% | +6.1% | +4.3% | +6.5% | -5.6% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.2% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +2.2% | -1.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +3.9% | -2.2% | +1.9% | +0.3% | +9.0% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +4.2% | +5.0% | +6.8% | +0.5% | +4.2% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.9% | -0.6% | +4.4% | -5.2% | -4.8% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.0% | +2.4% | +3.8% | +0.6% | +2.8% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.1% | -3.0% | -3.0% | -6.0% | +0.5% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +7.9% | -1.3% | -4.2% | +3.8% | +3.4% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -2.1% | -6.5% | -2.0% | +1.5% | +7.0% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +7.9% | +8.7% | +3.9% | +1.5% | +12.4% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.7% | +1.2% | +3.7% | +0.7% | -1.9% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.4% | -1.5% | +1.8% | -1.6% | +4.2% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +2.1% | +0.6% | +4.5% | +1.7% | -9.8% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +1.9% | +1.1% | -2.1% | -5.6% | +7.7% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +5.1% | -0.6% | -0.2% | +0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +7.2% | +1.6% | +6.4% | -0.7% | +0.0% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +3.9% | +1.6% | -0.3% | +1.2% | -4.9% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.5% | +1.1% | +2.5% | +15.6% | +4.8% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -1.5% | +0.1% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.31 | 0.37 | +19.0% | +2.3% | +3.9% | +4.7% | +9.0% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +9.3% | -1.9% | -5.3% | +4.3% | +7.6% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +8.8% | -2.3% | -4.1% | +3.9% | +22.8% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +29.4% | +0.1% | -5.2% | +2.7% | +5.1% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +24.9% | +3.7% | +3.7% | -0.8% | +6.6% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +11.3% | +5.0% | +1.7% | +0.9% | -23.1% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +21.8% | +4.5% | -0.6% | +5.3% | -4.3% |
| 2019-08-02 beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +9.2% | +1.2% | +4.8% | -1.9% | -4.8% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +8.1% | -1.7% | +0.7% | +1.2% | -13.5% |
| 2019-02-28 miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -14.7% | +0.1% | +0.4% | -3.5% | -9.3% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -23.5% | +0.7% | +1.0% | +3.0% | +9.7% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +8.8% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +4.8% | +10.7% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +7.8% | -2.4% | +0.9% | +4.8% | +17.1% |
| 2018-02-27 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -4.3% | -0.6% | +1.8% | +3.8% | -10.9% |
| 2017-11-02 miss | 0.17 | 0.17 | -2.3% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -2.0% | -8.5% |
| 2017-08-09 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +6.7% | -2.2% | -5.7% | -3.2% | -11.2% |
| 2017-05-08 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +16.4% | +2.2% | -1.5% | +1.3% | -6.2% |
| 2017-02-28 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +18.0% | +3.4% | -0.8% | -1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2016-11-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +23.2% | +11.5% | +8.1% | +7.9% | +23.7% |
| 2016-08-08 miss | 0.20 | 0.16 | -19.1% | +8.2% | +2.5% | -6.2% | -1.3% |
| 2016-05-09 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +7.6% | +10.0% | +12.3% | -2.8% | +6.2% |
| 2016-03-11 beat | 0.13 | 0.52 | +306.7% | -0.6% | +4.4% | +0.3% | -5.5% |
| 2015-11-10 miss | 0.10 | 0.06 | -40.0% | -0.6% | -4.8% | +7.0% | -6.4% |
| 2015-08-13 miss | 0.31 | 0.25 | -18.1% | -5.7% | -10.4% | -6.2% | -18.3% |
| 2015-05-12 beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +17.2% | -1.8% | -4.0% | +2.7% | +6.1% |
| 2015-03-18 miss | 0.20 | 0.14 | -29.6% | -1.1% | -0.3% | -6.4% | -1.0% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | 0.15 | 0.19 | +26.7% | -1.2% | +2.1% | -3.6% | -3.5% |
| 2014-08-06 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +12.5% | +0.6% | -0.1% | +2.2% | +7.7% |
| 2014-05-05 beat | 0.12 | 0.17 | +41.7% | +1.3% | -0.6% | +0.1% | +29.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.