FE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.6% | -1.1% | 3.3% | 20% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.4% | 1.5% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 1.2% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.9% | -1.0% | 4.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.5% | +0.6% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -5.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.72 | 0.72 | +0.6% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -6.9% | -5.2% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.9% | +0.2% | -0.8% | +3.5% | +1.5% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 0.77 | 0.83 | +7.5% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -0.6% | +0.8% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.9% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +1.7% | +2.1% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +13.1% | +0.1% | -0.7% | +1.1% | -0.4% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | 0.69 | 0.67 | -2.8% | -5.2% | -10.5% | -0.7% | +3.9% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 0.90 | 0.85 | -6.0% | +0.5% | -1.5% | -1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.56 | +0.8% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.7% | -1.0% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +1.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.