FE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.2% | -0.9% | 2.9% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.6% | 1.8% | 65% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 1.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | -0.4% | 4.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.5% | +0.6% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -5.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.72 | 0.72 | +0.6% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -6.9% | -5.2% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.9% | +0.2% | -0.8% | +3.5% | +1.5% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 0.77 | 0.83 | +7.5% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -0.6% | +0.8% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.9% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +1.7% | +2.1% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +13.1% | +0.1% | -0.7% | +1.1% | -0.4% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | 0.69 | 0.67 | -2.8% | -5.2% | -10.5% | -0.7% | +3.9% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 0.90 | 0.85 | -6.0% | +0.5% | -1.5% | -1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.56 | +0.8% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.7% | -1.0% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +1.7% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +4.6% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +3.6% | -1.0% | -2.6% | +4.8% | +6.2% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +3.6% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -6.3% | -6.6% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.6% | +0.1% | -3.2% | -0.3% | -7.0% |
| 2023-02-13 miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -4.8% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.7% | +0.0% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 0.79 | 0.79 | +0.6% | +0.7% | -3.2% | +4.4% | +9.6% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.1% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +0.2% | +4.1% |
| 2022-04-21 miss | 0.62 | 0.60 | -2.6% | -1.5% | -4.4% | -5.9% | -7.2% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.0% | +1.4% | +0.3% | -1.4% | +6.3% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.79 | 0.85 | +7.6% | -0.7% | +1.7% | +1.4% | -2.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.