FE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 2.9% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 2.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 42% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -0.9% | 3.8% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.5% | +0.6% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -5.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.72 | 0.72 | +0.6% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -6.9% | -5.2% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.9% | +0.2% | -0.8% | +3.5% | +1.5% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 0.77 | 0.83 | +7.5% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -0.6% | +0.8% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.9% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +1.7% | +2.1% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +13.1% | +0.1% | -0.7% | +1.1% | -0.4% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | 0.69 | 0.67 | -2.8% | -5.2% | -10.5% | -0.7% | +3.9% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 0.90 | 0.85 | -6.0% | +0.5% | -1.5% | -1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.56 | +0.8% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.7% | -1.0% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +1.7% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +4.6% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +3.6% | -1.0% | -2.6% | +4.8% | +6.2% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +3.6% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -6.3% | -6.6% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.6% | +0.1% | -3.2% | -0.3% | -7.0% |
| 2023-02-13 miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -4.8% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.7% | +0.0% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 0.79 | 0.79 | +0.6% | +0.7% | -3.2% | +4.4% | +9.6% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.1% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +0.2% | +4.1% |
| 2022-04-21 miss | 0.62 | 0.60 | -2.6% | -1.5% | -4.4% | -5.9% | -7.2% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.0% | +1.4% | +0.3% | -1.4% | +6.3% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.79 | 0.85 | +7.6% | -0.7% | +1.7% | +1.4% | -2.3% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +4.4% | -1.7% | -1.7% | -0.4% | +0.9% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +2.1% | +0.2% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +3.3% |
| 2021-02-18 miss | 0.43 | 0.32 | -25.7% | -1.1% | +7.2% | -2.2% | +1.8% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +6.0% | +1.1% | +0.7% | -1.4% | -8.7% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +4.3% | +2.0% | +7.6% | -1.6% | -4.0% |
| 2020-04-23 beat | 0.63 | 0.66 | +5.1% | -7.1% | -1.7% | -3.5% | -3.8% |
| 2020-02-07 beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +10.5% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +2.0% | -12.3% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +4.7% | +1.3% | -0.7% | -4.1% | +0.4% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +2.1% | +2.0% | +0.7% | +0.8% | +4.8% |
| 2019-04-23 miss | 0.68 | 0.67 | -1.8% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +2.7% | +5.6% |
| 2019-02-19 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +6.4% | -1.4% | +0.0% | +2.9% | +4.2% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.72 | 0.80 | +11.0% | +0.4% | -3.1% | +1.1% | +3.2% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 0.52 | 0.62 | +18.2% | +1.3% | +2.9% | -1.3% | +2.5% |
| 2018-04-23 miss | 0.67 | 0.67 | -0.3% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -2.7% |
| 2018-02-20 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.1% | +2.2% | -0.1% | -1.3% | +5.2% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.86 | 0.97 | +12.6% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +3.8% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +2.0% | -0.4% | +2.9% | -0.2% | +2.0% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +9.0% | +0.5% | -1.9% | -3.7% | -2.5% |
| 2017-02-21 miss | 0.40 | 0.38 | -4.5% | -1.7% | -1.7% | +2.5% | +1.3% |
| 2016-11-04 beat | 0.78 | 0.90 | +15.3% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -5.8% | -9.5% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +3.1% | -0.4% | -1.3% | -7.1% | -6.6% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.7% | +1.4% | +4.8% | -6.7% | -10.3% |
| 2016-02-16 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +2.4% | -0.8% | -3.6% | +1.3% | +12.1% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 0.88 | 0.98 | +11.1% | +0.9% | +1.2% | -6.1% | +3.4% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +12.8% | +0.6% | +3.0% | +0.9% | -5.9% |
| 2015-05-01 beat | 0.52 | 0.62 | +19.3% | +0.5% | +0.9% | -3.2% | -3.4% |
| 2015-02-17 beat | 0.76 | 0.80 | +5.9% | -2.1% | -2.2% | -0.7% | -0.5% |
| 2014-11-04 beat | 0.88 | 0.89 | +1.6% | -0.2% | -1.4% | +1.0% | +0.1% |
| 2014-08-05 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +9.1% | -2.9% | +2.8% | +1.2% | +6.5% |
| 2014-05-06 miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -7.2% | -0.9% | -2.3% | -0.5% | +5.8% |
| 2014-02-25 beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +8.6% | -0.3% | -2.8% | -0.6% | +7.7% |
| 2013-11-05 beat | 0.93 | 0.94 | +1.5% | -2.1% | -2.6% | -1.2% | -13.6% |
| 2013-08-06 beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +9.9% | +1.2% | +2.6% | -2.7% | -3.8% |
| 2013-05-07 beat | 0.69 | 0.76 | +10.4% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -3.1% | -11.8% |
| 2013-02-25 miss | 0.80 | 0.80 | -0.4% | +0.1% | -2.4% | +0.8% | +4.3% |
| 2012-11-08 beat | 1.07 | 1.11 | +4.1% | +0.2% | +1.4% | -4.1% | -3.2% |
| 2012-08-07 miss | 0.65 | 0.60 | -7.7% | +1.1% | -6.4% | +0.0% | -6.0% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +1.4% | -0.1% | +1.2% | -0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2012-02-28 miss | 0.87 | 0.77 | -11.0% | -0.5% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +2.7% |
| 2011-11-01 beat | 1.22 | 1.34 | +9.4% | -1.2% | +0.0% | +2.3% | -0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.