FICO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | +0.0% | 6.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +1.0% | 3.4% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.9% | 2.5% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.3% | +2.8% | 11.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 11.78 | 12.18 | +3.4% | -16.2% | -17.0% | -9.4% | +1.2% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 10.97 | 12.50 | +13.9% | +7.7% | +3.3% | +2.2% | +19.8% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 7.08 | 7.33 | +3.5% | +0.9% | -1.6% | -9.6% | -6.3% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 7.36 | 7.74 | +5.2% | +3.4% | +2.8% | +3.7% | +5.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 7.70 | 8.57 | +11.3% | -1.0% | -6.0% | -7.2% | +5.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 7.44 | 7.81 | +4.9% | -2.6% | +1.4% | +5.3% | -13.2% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 6.08 | 5.79 | -4.8% | -8.9% | +2.1% | -4.4% | -0.7% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 6.39 | 6.54 | +2.4% | +1.6% | +4.1% | +6.8% | +2.3% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 6.32 | 6.25 | -1.1% | -2.8% | -1.3% | +8.8% | +9.6% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 5.81 | 6.14 | +5.7% | -4.8% | -6.9% | +7.4% | +24.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.