FICO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.8% | 9.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +1.0% | 2.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.3% | 2.4% | 55% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +4.0% | 12.0% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 11.78 | 12.18 | +3.4% | -16.2% | -17.0% | -9.4% | +1.2% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 10.97 | 12.50 | +13.9% | +7.7% | +3.3% | +2.2% | +19.8% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 7.08 | 7.33 | +3.5% | +0.9% | -1.6% | -9.6% | -6.3% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 7.36 | 7.74 | +5.2% | +3.4% | +2.8% | +3.7% | +5.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 7.70 | 8.57 | +11.3% | -1.0% | -6.0% | -7.2% | +5.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 7.44 | 7.81 | +4.9% | -2.6% | +1.4% | +5.3% | -13.2% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 6.08 | 5.79 | -4.8% | -8.9% | +2.1% | -4.4% | -0.7% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 6.39 | 6.54 | +2.4% | +1.6% | +4.1% | +6.8% | +2.3% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 6.32 | 6.25 | -1.1% | -2.8% | -1.3% | +8.8% | +9.6% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 5.81 | 6.14 | +5.7% | -4.8% | -6.9% | +7.4% | +24.7% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 5.06 | 4.81 | -5.0% | -3.8% | -6.8% | +4.9% | +6.7% |
| 2023-11-08 miss | 5.22 | 5.01 | -4.0% | -4.2% | +2.4% | +7.4% | +19.0% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 5.25 | 5.66 | +7.9% | +3.4% | +4.0% | +0.5% | +4.8% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 5.04 | 4.78 | -5.1% | -2.1% | -0.9% | +0.6% | +8.6% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 4.18 | 4.26 | +1.9% | -3.4% | +2.2% | +3.2% | +2.6% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 4.21 | 4.40 | +4.6% | +18.5% | +31.1% | +0.8% | +5.9% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 3.98 | 4.47 | +12.2% | +2.0% | +1.1% | +2.3% | -7.5% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 3.73 | 4.68 | +25.4% | +5.5% | +2.7% | -5.9% | +6.6% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 3.36 | 3.70 | +10.0% | +0.8% | +16.6% | +1.8% | -3.6% |
| 2021-11-10 beat | 3.18 | 3.92 | +23.3% | -0.2% | -2.8% | -6.6% | +9.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.