FICO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +0.6% | 7.9% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 2.7% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 48% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +1.6% | 9.3% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 11.78 | 12.18 | +3.4% | -16.2% | -17.0% | -9.4% | +1.2% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 10.97 | 12.50 | +13.9% | +7.7% | +3.3% | +2.2% | +19.8% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 7.08 | 7.33 | +3.5% | +0.9% | -1.6% | -9.6% | -6.3% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 7.36 | 7.74 | +5.2% | +3.4% | +2.8% | +3.7% | +5.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 7.70 | 8.57 | +11.3% | -1.0% | -6.0% | -7.2% | +5.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 7.44 | 7.81 | +4.9% | -2.6% | +1.4% | +5.3% | -13.2% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 6.08 | 5.79 | -4.8% | -8.9% | +2.1% | -4.4% | -0.7% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 6.39 | 6.54 | +2.4% | +1.6% | +4.1% | +6.8% | +2.3% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 6.32 | 6.25 | -1.1% | -2.8% | -1.3% | +8.8% | +9.6% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 5.81 | 6.14 | +5.7% | -4.8% | -6.9% | +7.4% | +24.7% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 5.06 | 4.81 | -5.0% | -3.8% | -6.8% | +4.9% | +6.7% |
| 2023-11-08 miss | 5.22 | 5.01 | -4.0% | -4.2% | +2.4% | +7.4% | +19.0% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 5.25 | 5.66 | +7.9% | +3.4% | +4.0% | +0.5% | +4.8% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 5.04 | 4.78 | -5.1% | -2.1% | -0.9% | +0.6% | +8.6% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 4.18 | 4.26 | +1.9% | -3.4% | +2.2% | +3.2% | +2.6% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 4.21 | 4.40 | +4.6% | +18.5% | +31.1% | +0.8% | +5.9% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 3.98 | 4.47 | +12.2% | +2.0% | +1.1% | +2.3% | -7.5% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 3.73 | 4.68 | +25.4% | +5.5% | +2.7% | -5.9% | +6.6% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 3.36 | 3.70 | +10.0% | +0.8% | +16.6% | +1.8% | -3.6% |
| 2021-11-10 beat | 3.18 | 3.92 | +23.3% | -0.2% | -2.8% | -6.6% | +9.6% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 2.81 | 3.38 | +20.4% | +1.0% | -2.4% | -8.2% | -5.9% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 2.59 | 3.06 | +17.9% | -1.0% | -0.4% | -3.7% | -1.9% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 2.29 | 2.74 | +19.6% | -2.6% | -8.4% | +6.2% | +3.6% |
| 2020-11-10 beat | 2.32 | 3.25 | +40.3% | +4.0% | +9.0% | +0.5% | +8.5% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 2.16 | 2.58 | +19.5% | -5.2% | +0.2% | +0.4% | -3.1% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 1.76 | 2.14 | +21.5% | +1.4% | -1.1% | +3.9% | +15.6% |
| 2020-01-30 miss | 1.86 | 1.80 | -3.0% | -3.0% | -1.8% | +3.8% | -7.4% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | 1.68 | 2.01 | +19.4% | +6.3% | +10.2% | +0.9% | +8.9% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 1.93 | 2.50 | +29.9% | +3.1% | +3.6% | +2.3% | -2.0% |
| 2019-04-30 miss | 1.63 | 1.56 | -4.3% | +0.1% | -3.2% | +4.5% | +9.2% |
| 2019-01-30 beat | 1.42 | 1.45 | +2.1% | +0.5% | +3.4% | +3.1% | +10.1% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 2.02 | 1.89 | -6.4% | +0.0% | -4.2% | +3.3% | +1.3% |
| 2018-07-26 miss | 1.63 | 1.51 | -7.5% | +0.6% | -1.0% | +2.5% | +9.7% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 1.37 | 1.54 | +12.6% | +2.7% | +3.6% | -0.2% | +3.0% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 1.10 | 1.30 | +18.7% | +5.0% | +4.4% | -0.4% | +1.5% |
| 2017-11-01 miss | 1.69 | 1.65 | -2.5% | -1.0% | +2.8% | +4.0% | +5.7% |
| 2017-07-31 miss | 1.38 | 1.16 | -16.1% | -1.9% | +0.4% | -2.6% | -2.7% |
| 2017-04-27 miss | 1.10 | 1.05 | -4.8% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +1.8% | -2.0% |
| 2017-01-31 miss | 1.05 | 1.03 | -1.7% | +0.8% | -1.9% | +1.7% | +9.0% |
| 2016-11-07 beat | 1.10 | 1.28 | +16.9% | +0.7% | -2.3% | -3.0% | +5.8% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 1.10 | 1.45 | +32.1% | +3.8% | +9.6% | +1.9% | +0.4% |
| 2016-05-04 miss | 1.13 | 1.09 | -3.5% | +1.9% | +1.7% | +2.5% | +7.1% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 0.85 | 0.99 | +16.0% | +6.3% | +16.1% | -1.3% | +7.4% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 1.49 | 1.57 | +5.7% | -2.9% | -5.2% | -0.4% | +5.2% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.95 | 1.00 | +5.8% | -1.1% | -2.1% | -1.4% | -6.4% |
| 2015-04-23 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.8% | +1.0% | +0.6% | -5.6% | -7.6% |
| 2015-01-29 miss | 0.93 | 0.68 | -27.1% | -1.6% | -8.8% | +9.4% | +20.5% |
| 2014-11-06 beat | 1.19 | 1.33 | +11.8% | +8.0% | +13.9% | +1.6% | +4.1% |
| 2014-07-24 miss | 0.89 | 0.83 | -6.7% | -4.3% | -6.8% | -4.7% | -2.3% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +3.2% | -0.1% | +5.8% | -0.9% | +0.7% |
| 2014-01-22 beat | 0.73 | 0.73 | +0.5% | -0.2% | -3.8% | -5.5% | -7.4% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 0.81 | 0.98 | +21.7% | -1.3% | +1.0% | -5.1% | +1.6% |
| 2013-07-30 beat | 0.73 | 0.80 | +9.1% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +3.5% | +2.1% |
| 2013-04-24 miss | 0.70 | 0.69 | -1.9% | +3.1% | +0.6% | +4.5% | +10.9% |
| 2013-01-30 beat | 0.73 | 0.88 | +20.6% | +2.3% | +1.4% | +0.4% | -1.9% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +11.3% | -1.5% | -9.2% | -2.9% | -0.5% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 0.59 | 0.59 | +0.6% | +0.0% | -10.7% | +10.5% | +11.1% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.3% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -2.4% | -5.2% |
| 2012-01-26 beat | 0.62 | 0.81 | +30.6% | -3.2% | -8.2% | +8.3% | +12.6% |
| 2011-11-02 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +4.9% | +4.3% | +25.1% | +2.0% | +9.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.