GH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.7% | +3.6% | 12.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.5% | 4.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.8% | +2.8% | 4.3% | 80% |
| 5-day | +5.8% | +6.8% | 18.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | -0.39 | -0.42 | -7.8% | +6.7% | +6.3% | +4.0% | -1.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -0.47 | -0.45 | +5.0% | +4.7% | +3.7% | -0.8% | +36.0% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | -0.47 | -0.50 | -6.5% | +1.5% | -3.1% | -8.9% | -17.6% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | -0.49 | -0.39 | +20.3% | +24.5% | +27.9% | +4.2% | +13.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | -0.51 | -0.44 | +14.5% | -0.7% | -9.3% | +23.0% | +64.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | -0.59 | -0.49 | +17.0% | +11.5% | +3.5% | -14.7% | -13.9% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | -0.50 | -0.62 | -23.1% | +2.3% | -9.6% | -0.7% | +9.0% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | -0.60 | -0.45 | +24.4% | +28.1% | +13.0% | +5.7% | +27.2% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -0.61 | -0.48 | +21.0% | -5.6% | -10.9% | -5.7% | -21.5% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -0.73 | -0.46 | +37.0% | +10.2% | +15.1% | +13.4% | +36.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.