GH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.5% | +3.5% | 11.8% | 62% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | +0.2% | 5.9% | 56% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | +0.2% | 4.3% | 53% |
| 5-day | +3.4% | +3.1% | 16.4% | 59% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | -0.39 | -0.42 | -7.8% | +6.7% | +6.3% | +4.0% | -1.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -0.47 | -0.45 | +5.0% | +4.7% | +3.7% | -0.8% | +36.0% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | -0.47 | -0.50 | -6.5% | +1.5% | -3.1% | -8.9% | -17.6% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | -0.49 | -0.39 | +20.3% | +24.5% | +27.9% | +4.2% | +13.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | -0.51 | -0.44 | +14.5% | -0.7% | -9.3% | +23.0% | +64.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | -0.59 | -0.49 | +17.0% | +11.5% | +3.5% | -14.7% | -13.9% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | -0.50 | -0.62 | -23.1% | +2.3% | -9.6% | -0.7% | +9.0% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | -0.60 | -0.45 | +24.4% | +28.1% | +13.0% | +5.7% | +27.2% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -0.61 | -0.48 | +21.0% | -5.6% | -10.9% | -5.7% | -21.5% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -0.73 | -0.46 | +37.0% | +10.2% | +15.1% | +13.4% | +36.3% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | -0.75 | -0.64 | +14.2% | -5.7% | -12.8% | -2.3% | -11.8% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | -0.80 | -0.67 | +15.9% | -2.3% | -5.4% | -6.7% | +0.1% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | -0.93 | -0.82 | +11.5% | +2.9% | +6.4% | -5.9% | -6.6% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | -1.07 | -1.06 | +1.1% | +8.3% | +14.9% | +5.4% | +19.2% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | -1.16 | -1.17 | -1.1% | +3.2% | +11.7% | +11.1% | -15.8% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -1.08 | -1.18 | -9.4% | -3.3% | +4.9% | +13.3% | +4.7% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | -0.97 | -1.00 | -3.3% | -7.9% | +3.6% | +2.4% | -3.3% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -1.10 | -0.91 | +17.5% | -7.4% | -22.5% | -8.7% | +2.6% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | -1.08 | -1.15 | -6.1% | -1.4% | +10.0% | -7.5% | -9.7% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | -0.87 | -1.06 | -21.5% | -1.1% | -4.0% | -5.8% | -13.4% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | -0.83 | -0.96 | -15.1% | +1.9% | -1.2% | -11.2% | +15.9% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | -0.83 | -1.09 | -31.2% | -3.5% | +0.6% | -16.7% | -15.2% |
| 2021-02-24 miss | -0.47 | -0.94 | -99.1% | -5.1% | -7.9% | -10.9% | -9.3% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | -0.36 | -0.78 | -118.7% | -4.2% | -3.8% | +2.8% | +11.6% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | -0.36 | -0.57 | -58.2% | -4.0% | +3.5% | -0.2% | +6.3% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | -0.39 | -0.29 | +25.2% | +8.5% | +5.0% | +10.6% | -9.0% |
| 2020-02-24 beat | -0.30 | -0.27 | +11.3% | -5.1% | -10.1% | -2.3% | -13.1% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | -0.37 | -0.14 | +62.6% | +7.3% | +12.0% | +11.3% | +2.0% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | -0.35 | -0.13 | +62.8% | +16.0% | +21.2% | -10.0% | -25.7% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | -0.37 | -0.30 | +18.8% | +15.6% | +18.6% | +0.2% | +14.6% |
| 2019-03-12 beat | -0.35 | -0.30 | +14.9% | +6.7% | +27.6% | -6.7% | -23.7% |
| 2018-11-19 beat | -0.29 | -0.29 | +3.1% | +0.1% | +3.3% | +8.6% | -1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.