GH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +3.7% | 11.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -1.6% | +0.0% | 6.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | +0.3% | 4.5% | 55% |
| 5-day | +3.2% | +2.3% | 17.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | -0.39 | -0.42 | -7.8% | +6.7% | +6.3% | +4.0% | -1.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -0.47 | -0.45 | +5.0% | +4.7% | +3.7% | -0.8% | +36.0% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | -0.47 | -0.50 | -6.5% | +1.5% | -3.1% | -8.9% | -17.6% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | -0.49 | -0.39 | +20.3% | +24.5% | +27.9% | +4.2% | +13.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | -0.51 | -0.44 | +14.5% | -0.7% | -9.3% | +23.0% | +64.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | -0.59 | -0.49 | +17.0% | +11.5% | +3.5% | -14.7% | -13.9% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | -0.50 | -0.62 | -23.1% | +2.3% | -9.6% | -0.7% | +9.0% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | -0.60 | -0.45 | +24.4% | +28.1% | +13.0% | +5.7% | +27.2% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -0.61 | -0.48 | +21.0% | -5.6% | -10.9% | -5.7% | -21.5% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -0.73 | -0.46 | +37.0% | +10.2% | +15.1% | +13.4% | +36.3% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | -0.75 | -0.64 | +14.2% | -5.7% | -12.8% | -2.3% | -11.8% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | -0.80 | -0.67 | +15.9% | -2.3% | -5.4% | -6.7% | +0.1% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | -0.93 | -0.82 | +11.5% | +2.9% | +6.4% | -5.9% | -6.6% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | -1.07 | -1.06 | +1.1% | +8.3% | +14.9% | +5.4% | +19.2% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | -1.16 | -1.17 | -1.1% | +3.2% | +11.7% | +11.1% | -15.8% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -1.08 | -1.18 | -9.4% | -3.3% | +4.9% | +13.3% | +4.7% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | -0.97 | -1.00 | -3.3% | -7.9% | +3.6% | +2.4% | -3.3% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -1.10 | -0.91 | +17.5% | -7.4% | -22.5% | -8.7% | +2.6% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | -1.08 | -1.15 | -6.1% | -1.4% | +10.0% | -7.5% | -9.7% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | -0.87 | -1.06 | -21.5% | -1.1% | -4.0% | -5.8% | -13.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.