HES chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 1.4% | 56% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | +0.2% | 2.8% | 67% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.7% | 3.5% | 67% |
| 5-day | -2.5% | -1.6% | 5.8% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-30 | 1.27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.61 | 1.81 | +12.5% | -2.0% | -2.6% | +0.0% | +2.4% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 1.47 | 1.76 | +20.1% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -1.7% | +2.6% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.77 | 2.14 | +20.7% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +6.2% | +9.6% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.55 | 2.62 | +2.9% | +0.9% | +1.1% | -14.5% | -10.0% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.73 | 3.16 | +83.0% | +0.5% | +1.5% | -1.8% | -6.2% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 1.39 | 1.63 | +17.5% | -0.5% | -2.1% | +3.3% | +5.5% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 1.25 | 1.64 | +31.6% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -7.9% | -5.8% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.50 | 0.65 | +28.9% | -1.2% | +0.2% | +1.2% | +1.6% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.03 | 1.13 | +10.0% | -0.7% | +1.3% | -5.3% | -9.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.