HES chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 3.4% | 59% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.3% | 62% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -1.1% | 2.8% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -0.4% | 6.3% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-30 | 1.27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.61 | 1.81 | +12.5% | -2.0% | -2.6% | +0.0% | +2.4% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 1.47 | 1.76 | +20.1% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -1.7% | +2.6% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.77 | 2.14 | +20.7% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +6.2% | +9.6% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.55 | 2.62 | +2.9% | +0.9% | +1.1% | -14.5% | -10.0% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.73 | 3.16 | +83.0% | +0.5% | +1.5% | -1.8% | -6.2% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 1.39 | 1.63 | +17.5% | -0.5% | -2.1% | +3.3% | +5.5% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 1.25 | 1.64 | +31.6% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -7.9% | -5.8% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.50 | 0.65 | +28.9% | -1.2% | +0.2% | +1.2% | +1.6% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.03 | 1.13 | +10.0% | -0.7% | +1.3% | -5.3% | -9.7% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 1.64 | 1.78 | +8.8% | +0.7% | +2.6% | -8.6% | -12.0% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 1.89 | 1.89 | -0.1% | +2.3% | +4.8% | -1.3% | +1.7% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 2.15 | 2.15 | +0.2% | +0.0% | +1.4% | -0.9% | +16.9% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 1.13 | 1.30 | +15.2% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +8.5% | +17.4% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 0.73 | 0.85 | +16.7% | +3.3% | -4.1% | +6.1% | +11.1% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +6.8% | -3.6% | -5.0% | -3.6% | -10.2% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 0.19 | 0.24 | +28.0% | +0.4% | +4.6% | -7.3% | -13.0% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.36 | 0.82 | +125.6% | -0.4% | +7.8% | +6.6% | +12.2% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | -0.66 | -0.58 | +11.9% | -0.9% | -2.1% | +4.3% | +17.1% |
| 2020-10-28 miss | -0.67 | -0.71 | -6.0% | -2.7% | -3.4% | +3.0% | +40.6% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | -1.12 | -1.05 | +6.5% | +4.0% | +4.0% | +7.2% | -7.2% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | -0.61 | -0.60 | +2.0% | +4.2% | +3.1% | -7.8% | +29.3% |
| 2020-01-29 miss | -0.48 | -0.60 | -23.8% | +0.2% | -6.9% | +2.6% | -2.8% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | -0.31 | -0.32 | -1.9% | -3.3% | -4.5% | +6.0% | -4.1% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | -0.12 | -0.09 | +24.0% | +0.0% | +4.6% | -10.5% | -4.0% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | -0.26 | 0.09 | +134.5% | +0.9% | -2.5% | -3.5% | -7.3% |
| 2019-01-30 beat | -0.40 | -0.31 | +23.0% | +2.0% | +4.0% | +1.9% | +9.8% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 0.02 | 0.38 | +1899.0% | +5.4% | +0.6% | +6.1% | -6.1% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | -0.28 | -0.23 | +18.3% | -0.1% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -0.5% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | -0.49 | -0.27 | +44.9% | +1.5% | +2.9% | -2.9% | +5.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.