HOG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.6% | 8.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | +0.4% | 3.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 2.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -0.2% | 7.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.64 | 0.75 | +16.7% | -0.6% | -4.0% | -7.1% | +6.3% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -3.1% | +0.5% | +8.2% | +0.9% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | -1.06 | -2.44 | -129.2% | -1.8% | +4.0% | -1.7% | -14.2% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.64 | 3.10 | +88.8% | -1.1% | -6.5% | -0.1% | -6.4% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 0.93 | 0.88 | -5.4% | +16.7% | +13.4% | -6.9% | +10.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.77 | 1.07 | +39.0% | +4.6% | +2.8% | +1.6% | +2.7% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | -0.65 | -0.93 | -42.1% | +1.4% | -1.6% | -1.1% | -1.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.81 | 0.91 | +12.3% | +1.8% | -7.2% | +0.9% | +5.9% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.38 | 1.63 | +18.0% | +9.7% | +7.4% | +0.3% | +4.8% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.54 | 1.72 | +11.7% | -2.8% | -15.7% | +5.4% | +6.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.