HOG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +1.9% | 8.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.8% | 3.1% | 65% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.8% | 2.1% | 35% |
| 5-day | +2.9% | +3.4% | 8.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.64 | 0.75 | +16.7% | -0.6% | -4.0% | -7.1% | +6.3% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -3.1% | +0.5% | +8.2% | +0.9% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | -1.06 | -2.44 | -129.2% | -1.8% | +4.0% | -1.7% | -14.2% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.64 | 3.10 | +88.8% | -1.1% | -6.5% | -0.1% | -6.4% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 0.93 | 0.88 | -5.4% | +16.7% | +13.4% | -6.9% | +10.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.77 | 1.07 | +39.0% | +4.6% | +2.8% | +1.6% | +2.7% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | -0.65 | -0.93 | -42.1% | +1.4% | -1.6% | -1.1% | -1.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.81 | 0.91 | +12.3% | +1.8% | -7.2% | +0.9% | +5.9% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.38 | 1.63 | +18.0% | +9.7% | +7.4% | +0.3% | +4.8% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.54 | 1.72 | +11.7% | -2.8% | -15.7% | +5.4% | +6.0% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.03 | 0.18 | +600.4% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +8.1% | +11.8% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.37 | 1.38 | +1.1% | -0.8% | -6.5% | +3.3% | +12.1% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 1.29 | 1.22 | -5.4% | +2.5% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -11.0% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.40 | 2.04 | +46.0% | +3.5% | -0.4% | -6.9% | -10.3% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.05 | 0.28 | +412.0% | +7.1% | +10.7% | -7.5% | -11.2% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 1.39 | 1.78 | +27.7% | +8.2% | +12.6% | +4.0% | +14.1% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.07 | 1.46 | +36.0% | +6.4% | +7.8% | +0.4% | +8.2% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 1.47 | 1.45 | -1.6% | -2.1% | -0.5% | +13.1% | -2.7% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | -0.33 | 0.15 | +146.0% | +10.7% | +15.5% | +0.8% | -7.0% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.76 | 1.18 | +55.3% | +1.9% | +3.6% | +6.9% | +1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.