HOG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +1.0% | 7.7% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 2.3% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +2.0% | 8.1% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.64 | 0.75 | +16.7% | -0.6% | -4.0% | -7.1% | +6.3% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -3.1% | +0.5% | +8.2% | +0.9% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | -1.06 | -2.44 | -129.2% | -1.8% | +4.0% | -1.7% | -14.2% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.64 | 3.10 | +88.8% | -1.1% | -6.5% | -0.1% | -6.4% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 0.93 | 0.88 | -5.4% | +16.7% | +13.4% | -6.9% | +10.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.77 | 1.07 | +39.0% | +4.6% | +2.8% | +1.6% | +2.7% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | -0.65 | -0.93 | -42.1% | +1.4% | -1.6% | -1.1% | -1.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.81 | 0.91 | +12.3% | +1.8% | -7.2% | +0.9% | +5.9% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.38 | 1.63 | +18.0% | +9.7% | +7.4% | +0.3% | +4.8% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.54 | 1.72 | +11.7% | -2.8% | -15.7% | +5.4% | +6.0% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.03 | 0.18 | +600.4% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +8.1% | +11.8% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.37 | 1.38 | +1.1% | -0.8% | -6.5% | +3.3% | +12.1% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 1.29 | 1.22 | -5.4% | +2.5% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -11.0% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.40 | 2.04 | +46.0% | +3.5% | -0.4% | -6.9% | -10.3% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.05 | 0.28 | +412.0% | +7.1% | +10.7% | -7.5% | -11.2% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 1.39 | 1.78 | +27.7% | +8.2% | +12.6% | +4.0% | +14.1% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.07 | 1.46 | +36.0% | +6.4% | +7.8% | +0.4% | +8.2% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 1.47 | 1.45 | -1.6% | -2.1% | -0.5% | +13.1% | -2.7% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | -0.33 | 0.15 | +146.0% | +10.7% | +15.5% | +0.8% | -7.0% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.76 | 1.18 | +55.3% | +1.9% | +3.6% | +6.9% | +1.8% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 1.17 | 1.41 | +20.5% | +0.7% | -7.2% | -4.0% | -3.4% |
| 2021-04-19 beat | 0.89 | 1.68 | +89.0% | +11.4% | +9.7% | +8.9% | +13.3% |
| 2021-02-02 miss | 0.12 | -0.63 | -623.9% | -15.1% | -17.2% | +9.4% | +5.6% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.28 | 1.05 | +268.9% | +10.6% | +22.1% | -5.8% | +15.8% |
| 2020-07-28 miss | 0.13 | -0.35 | -359.4% | -6.6% | -0.8% | -10.9% | -3.4% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 0.55 | 0.51 | -7.3% | +9.0% | +15.2% | -5.9% | +7.5% |
| 2020-01-28 miss | 0.12 | 0.09 | -23.8% | -6.4% | -3.0% | +1.5% | -7.8% |
| 2019-10-22 miss | 0.55 | 0.55 | -0.8% | +6.0% | +8.0% | +1.1% | -11.3% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 1.39 | 1.46 | +5.3% | -3.7% | +6.4% | -3.5% | -12.1% |
| 2019-04-23 beat | 0.87 | 0.98 | +13.3% | +0.5% | -2.0% | -4.3% | -9.6% |
| 2019-01-29 miss | 0.30 | 0.11 | -63.4% | -9.3% | -5.1% | +5.3% | +6.8% |
| 2018-10-23 beat | 0.44 | 0.68 | +53.1% | -1.9% | -2.2% | -0.3% | +5.8% |
| 2018-07-24 beat | 1.36 | 1.45 | +6.7% | +3.5% | +7.7% | -3.9% | -4.0% |
| 2018-04-24 beat | 0.88 | 1.03 | +17.4% | +5.0% | +2.4% | -3.0% | +0.1% |
| 2018-01-30 beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +4.7% | -6.7% | -8.0% | -4.4% | -11.3% |
| 2017-10-17 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +2.4% | -1.8% | +2.0% | +4.1% | -0.1% |
| 2017-07-18 beat | 1.39 | 1.48 | +6.1% | -10.1% | -5.9% | -1.7% | -2.9% |
| 2017-04-18 beat | 0.99 | 1.05 | +6.6% | -4.3% | -4.2% | +0.5% | -6.9% |
| 2017-01-31 miss | 0.31 | 0.27 | -12.2% | -5.0% | -1.5% | -0.8% | +2.8% |
| 2016-10-18 beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.2% | +2.1% | +9.0% | +4.4% | +6.4% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 1.53 | 1.55 | +1.0% | -4.1% | +0.9% | +4.2% | +3.1% |
| 2016-04-19 beat | 1.30 | 1.36 | +4.9% | +0.4% | -2.5% | +7.9% | -3.0% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +3.8% | +0.0% | +3.8% | +6.0% | +10.9% |
| 2015-10-20 miss | 0.77 | 0.69 | -10.9% | -8.5% | -13.9% | -1.2% | +3.2% |
| 2015-07-21 beat | 1.40 | 1.44 | +3.1% | +4.6% | +5.0% | +0.9% | +3.8% |
| 2015-04-21 beat | 1.24 | 1.27 | +2.2% | -8.6% | -9.8% | +2.2% | +1.5% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +5.2% | +1.2% | +3.7% | -2.3% | +0.7% |
| 2014-10-21 beat | 0.60 | 0.69 | +15.7% | +7.9% | +7.3% | +2.9% | +10.5% |
| 2014-07-22 beat | 1.46 | 1.62 | +11.0% | -4.5% | -5.4% | -0.6% | +1.4% |
| 2014-04-22 beat | 1.08 | 1.21 | +11.8% | +7.4% | +6.4% | +2.1% | +0.3% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +7.9% | +3.5% | -1.3% | +2.1% | +2.9% |
| 2013-10-22 miss | 0.73 | 0.73 | -0.1% | +0.8% | -1.3% | +0.2% | +2.9% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 1.18 | 1.21 | +2.5% | +2.9% | -0.2% | +4.8% | +7.4% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.97 | 0.99 | +1.7% | +0.1% | +2.1% | -0.3% | +2.1% |
| 2013-01-29 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -1.5% | -1.0% | +2.5% | -3.6% | -3.5% |
| 2012-10-23 beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.3% | -0.6% | +7.7% | +1.5% | +2.3% |
| 2012-08-01 beat | 1.05 | 1.07 | +2.2% | +0.3% | -3.6% | +0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.2% | +4.6% | +6.2% | -0.1% | -11.4% |
| 2012-01-24 beat | 0.24 | 0.46 | +90.5% | -0.1% | +3.5% | +2.0% | +9.0% |
| 2011-10-18 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.9% | -8.0% | -7.0% | +9.5% | +12.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.