HR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +1.0% | 3.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.8% | 2.1% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +2.0% | 5.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | -0.02 | -0.13 | -691.7% | +0.2% | -2.4% | -5.0% | -9.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | -0.03 | — | +100.0% | +3.2% | +2.9% | +4.7% | +1.9% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | -0.03 | -0.03 | -10.3% | +1.5% | +2.7% | +3.1% | +0.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +15.4% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +2.1% | +1.3% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +11.4% | -0.4% | +7.7% | +0.8% | +4.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.12 | -0.10 | +17.3% | +0.6% | -4.3% | +0.9% | -6.2% |
| 2025-02-19 miss | -0.12 | -0.16 | -34.0% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | -0.13 | -0.13 | -2.2% | +0.0% | -2.8% | -2.9% | +3.9% |
| 2024-08-02 miss | -0.13 | -0.13 | -2.4% | +0.4% | +2.1% | -0.1% | +0.4% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +12.3% | +0.9% | +2.8% | +5.6% | +7.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.