HR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -0.1% | 3.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 2.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 1.5% | 33% |
| 5-day | -1.6% | -1.6% | 6.2% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | -0.02 | -0.13 | -691.7% | +0.2% | -2.4% | -5.0% | -9.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | -0.03 | — | +100.0% | +3.2% | +2.9% | +4.7% | +1.9% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | -0.03 | -0.03 | -10.3% | +1.5% | +2.7% | +3.1% | +0.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +15.4% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +2.1% | +1.3% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +11.4% | -0.4% | +7.7% | +0.8% | +4.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.12 | -0.10 | +17.3% | +0.6% | -4.3% | +0.9% | -6.2% |
| 2025-02-19 miss | -0.12 | -0.16 | -34.0% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | -0.13 | -0.13 | -2.2% | +0.0% | -2.8% | -2.9% | +3.9% |
| 2024-08-02 miss | -0.13 | -0.13 | -2.4% | +0.4% | +2.1% | -0.1% | +0.4% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +12.3% | +0.9% | +2.8% | +5.6% | +7.2% |
| 2024-02-16 beat | -0.13 | -0.09 | +27.4% | -3.8% | -7.9% | -8.5% | -8.3% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | -0.12 | -0.11 | +9.9% | +2.7% | -0.5% | -2.6% | +5.2% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +16.6% | -2.4% | -6.2% | -7.2% | -9.6% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | -0.11 | -0.11 | -2.2% | +0.1% | -2.1% | -0.9% | +0.8% |
| 2023-03-01 miss | -0.07 | -0.20 | -168.7% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -2.5% |
| 2022-11-09 miss | 0.08 | -0.11 | -231.6% | +0.6% | -1.8% | +1.0% | +2.4% |
| 2022-08-09 miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -32.5% | -0.3% | +2.0% | +2.8% | -5.9% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -44.5% | -1.5% | -0.9% | -7.0% | -10.2% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +8.2% | -1.5% | +0.1% | -13.4% | -11.0% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +24.2% | +0.4% | -4.3% | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2021-08-04 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -15.5% | +0.8% | +2.6% | -3.3% | -2.0% |
| 2021-05-05 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -4.4% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -2.4% | -0.9% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +4.3% | -0.2% | +0.1% | -5.2% | +1.4% |
| 2020-11-04 miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -5.9% | +0.7% | +2.7% | +3.0% | -2.3% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +15.9% | +0.0% | +1.0% | -4.4% | +1.8% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -41.4% | +4.0% | +0.8% | -2.9% | +9.4% |
| 2020-02-12 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -13.9% | +2.0% | +0.6% | +3.3% | -19.8% |
| 2019-11-04 miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -59.7% | -0.3% | -4.5% | -1.4% | +2.2% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -15.3% | -1.2% | -1.9% | +3.0% | +3.3% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -3.2% | -0.2% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +4.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.