HR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 1.8% | 63% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 1.3% | 48% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -0.7% | 4.8% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | -0.02 | -0.13 | -691.7% | +0.2% | -2.4% | -5.0% | -9.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | -0.03 | — | +100.0% | +3.2% | +2.9% | +4.7% | +1.9% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | -0.03 | -0.03 | -10.3% | +1.5% | +2.7% | +3.1% | +0.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +15.4% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +2.1% | +1.3% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +11.4% | -0.4% | +7.7% | +0.8% | +4.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.12 | -0.10 | +17.3% | +0.6% | -4.3% | +0.9% | -6.2% |
| 2025-02-19 miss | -0.12 | -0.16 | -34.0% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | -0.13 | -0.13 | -2.2% | +0.0% | -2.8% | -2.9% | +3.9% |
| 2024-08-02 miss | -0.13 | -0.13 | -2.4% | +0.4% | +2.1% | -0.1% | +0.4% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +12.3% | +0.9% | +2.8% | +5.6% | +7.2% |
| 2024-02-16 beat | -0.13 | -0.09 | +27.4% | -3.8% | -7.9% | -8.5% | -8.3% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | -0.12 | -0.11 | +9.9% | +2.7% | -0.5% | -2.6% | +5.2% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +16.6% | -2.4% | -6.2% | -7.2% | -9.6% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | -0.11 | -0.11 | -2.2% | +0.1% | -2.1% | -0.9% | +0.8% |
| 2023-03-01 miss | -0.07 | -0.20 | -168.7% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -2.5% |
| 2022-11-09 miss | 0.08 | -0.11 | -231.6% | +0.6% | -1.8% | +1.0% | +2.4% |
| 2022-08-09 miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -32.5% | -0.3% | +2.0% | +2.8% | -5.9% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -44.5% | -1.5% | -0.9% | -7.0% | -10.2% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +8.2% | -1.5% | +0.1% | -13.4% | -11.0% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +24.2% | +0.4% | -4.3% | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2021-08-04 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -15.5% | +0.8% | +2.6% | -3.3% | -2.0% |
| 2021-05-05 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -4.4% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -2.4% | -0.9% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +4.3% | -0.2% | +0.1% | -5.2% | +1.4% |
| 2020-11-04 miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -5.9% | +0.7% | +2.7% | +3.0% | -2.3% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +15.9% | +0.0% | +1.0% | -4.4% | +1.8% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -41.4% | +4.0% | +0.8% | -2.9% | +9.4% |
| 2020-02-12 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -13.9% | +2.0% | +0.6% | +3.3% | -19.8% |
| 2019-11-04 miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -59.7% | -0.3% | -4.5% | -1.4% | +2.2% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -15.3% | -1.2% | -1.9% | +3.0% | +3.3% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -3.2% | -0.2% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +4.6% |
| 2019-02-13 miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -27.3% | -0.1% | +1.4% | -0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -35.9% | +0.5% | -2.4% | +5.3% | +11.9% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -31.0% | +0.1% | +2.2% | -1.6% | -0.8% |
| 2018-05-03 miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -28.8% | -0.7% | +0.5% | +0.1% | -1.5% |
| 2018-02-14 beat | 0.10 | 0.50 | +387.8% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2017-11-01 miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -33.2% | -0.5% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +1.6% |
| 2017-08-02 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -19.3% | -0.2% | +1.4% | -3.7% | +0.2% |
| 2017-05-03 miss | 0.11 | 0.08 | -29.6% | +1.5% | -0.8% | +2.2% | +8.4% |
| 2017-02-15 miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -20.1% | +0.5% | +1.8% | +3.9% | -0.2% |
| 2016-11-02 miss | 0.13 | 0.10 | -23.4% | -0.1% | -1.9% | -6.7% | -1.1% |
| 2016-08-03 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -6.2% | +2.8% | +1.7% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2016-05-04 miss | 0.12 | 0.09 | -24.5% | +1.4% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +4.5% |
| 2016-02-16 miss | 0.13 | 0.10 | -18.8% | -1.5% | -2.3% | +2.1% | +7.0% |
| 2015-11-04 beat | 0.12 | 0.17 | +46.8% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -3.0% | +4.5% |
| 2015-08-05 beat | 0.11 | 0.18 | +61.5% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -0.7% | -8.6% |
| 2015-05-06 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -10.2% | -0.3% | +1.0% | -2.4% | -5.9% |
| 2015-02-17 miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -10.0% | +0.1% | +2.0% | -1.7% | -7.0% |
| 2014-11-04 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +22.9% | +0.5% | +0.6% | -2.8% | -0.6% |
| 2014-07-30 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +21.2% | -0.6% | -1.0% | -0.6% | +1.1% |
| 2014-04-30 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +14.3% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2014-02-19 beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +46.9% | +0.0% | +1.7% | +5.1% | +3.1% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +15.3% | +0.3% | -0.7% | -2.3% | -9.3% |
| 2013-07-30 miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -47.5% | -0.1% | -2.6% | -3.7% | -11.8% |
| 2013-05-01 miss | 0.04 | 0.02 | -43.9% | +0.0% | +2.1% | -1.5% | -10.9% |
| 2013-02-20 miss | 0.03 | — | -87.9% | +0.5% | +0.0% | +3.8% | +8.7% |
| 2012-11-07 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +69.0% | -0.9% | -2.4% | +0.9% | +6.2% |
| 2012-07-31 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +76.2% | +0.2% | -1.1% | +0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +39.2% | -0.3% | -0.7% | +1.6% | +1.9% |
| 2012-02-22 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +1.6% | -0.7% | +1.4% | -0.5% | +4.4% |
| 2011-11-01 miss | 0.05 | — | -96.3% | +2.6% | +3.3% | -4.3% | -4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.