HTGC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | +0.0% | 4.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.5% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.6% | 1.5% | 70% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | +0.3% | 6.3% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.3% | +2.9% | +3.0% | +5.1% | +7.4% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +1.3% | +2.3% | -0.8% | -3.5% | -7.1% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -2.5% | -3.3% | -6.1% | -3.1% | -6.9% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +1.3% | -0.5% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +2.5% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +6.0% | +1.3% | +2.1% | +1.8% | +0.9% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -3.7% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -2.6% | -2.6% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -11.0% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.2% | -0.5% | -0.7% | -0.3% | -4.0% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.4% | -2.8% | -11.7% | -0.9% | +1.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.7% | +0.6% | +0.7% | +2.4% | +1.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.