HTGC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +1.9% | 3.9% | 67% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.6% | 2.5% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.9% | 6.0% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.3% | +2.9% | +3.0% | +5.1% | +7.4% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +1.3% | +2.3% | -0.8% | -3.5% | -7.1% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -2.5% | -3.3% | -6.1% | -3.1% | -6.9% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +1.3% | -0.5% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +2.5% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +6.0% | +1.3% | +2.1% | +1.8% | +0.9% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -3.7% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -2.6% | -2.6% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -11.0% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.2% | -0.5% | -0.7% | -0.3% | -4.0% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.4% | -2.8% | -11.7% | -0.9% | +1.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.7% | +0.6% | +0.7% | +2.4% | +1.3% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | 0.50 | 0.56 | +11.2% | +1.5% | +4.8% | +0.9% | -2.9% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.9% | +0.9% | -1.4% | +1.0% | -4.1% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.49 | 0.53 | +9.0% | +2.8% | +3.9% | -3.4% | -9.5% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +4.1% | +2.5% | +4.5% | +1.8% | +13.5% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +13.2% | +2.7% | +7.7% | -1.4% | -23.7% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +9.3% | +1.8% | +3.6% | -4.9% | -7.0% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -2.4% | +1.2% | +2.2% | +0.7% | -9.5% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -4.4% | -0.2% | +2.6% | -12.3% | -18.9% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +8.2% | +0.0% | -2.7% | +1.7% | +0.7% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +4.6% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +1.2% | -7.0% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.3% | +0.6% | -0.7% | +1.7% | -2.4% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | 0.30 | 0.30 | -0.3% | +0.5% | -0.7% | +1.4% | -0.9% |
| 2021-02-23 beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +12.1% | +0.7% | +2.7% | +2.9% | -1.1% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +5.5% | -1.3% | +0.1% | +1.8% | +20.9% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -2.4% | +2.1% | +0.2% | +5.3% | +1.6% |
| 2020-05-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +3.7% | +8.1% | +9.0% | +2.1% | +6.0% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.9% | +1.0% | +1.8% | -17.4% | -57.4% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +8.5% | +1.2% | +2.1% | -2.0% | +0.8% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +9.1% | +2.6% | +3.5% | -3.5% | -2.5% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -3.9% | +3.7% | +6.0% | -2.1% | -5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.