INCY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +0.2% | 7.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.5% | 2.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 2.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.6% | +1.6% | 8.5% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.15 | 3.09 | +44.0% | +0.1% | +9.3% | -7.2% | -1.4% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.34 | 1.81 | +35.1% | -1.0% | +2.1% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 1.92 | 1.80 | -6.1% | -5.5% | -8.2% | +2.9% | -8.0% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 1.64 | 2.26 | +38.0% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +12.3% | +15.3% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.47 | 1.57 | +6.6% | +2.6% | +10.3% | +0.4% | +9.6% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.03 | 1.16 | +12.3% | -0.2% | +1.5% | -1.4% | +9.3% |
| 2025-02-10 miss | 1.55 | 1.43 | -8.0% | -1.5% | -7.9% | +4.3% | -0.8% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 1.09 | 1.07 | -2.0% | +2.8% | +12.0% | +5.0% | +2.5% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 1.11 | -1.82 | -264.5% | +1.1% | -1.2% | -9.6% | -3.2% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.83 | 0.64 | -23.1% | -4.1% | -1.0% | +4.5% | +10.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.