INCY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -0.3% | 6.2% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 3.0% | 52% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 2.5% | 42% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | +0.2% | 8.5% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.15 | 3.09 | +44.0% | +0.1% | +9.3% | -7.2% | -1.4% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.34 | 1.81 | +35.1% | -1.0% | +2.1% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 1.92 | 1.80 | -6.1% | -5.5% | -8.2% | +2.9% | -8.0% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 1.64 | 2.26 | +38.0% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +12.3% | +15.3% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.47 | 1.57 | +6.6% | +2.6% | +10.3% | +0.4% | +9.6% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.03 | 1.16 | +12.3% | -0.2% | +1.5% | -1.4% | +9.3% |
| 2025-02-10 miss | 1.55 | 1.43 | -8.0% | -1.5% | -7.9% | +4.3% | -0.8% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 1.09 | 1.07 | -2.0% | +2.8% | +12.0% | +5.0% | +2.5% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 1.11 | -1.82 | -264.5% | +1.1% | -1.2% | -9.6% | -3.2% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.83 | 0.64 | -23.1% | -4.1% | -1.0% | +4.5% | +10.1% |
| 2024-02-13 miss | 1.15 | 1.06 | -7.7% | +3.8% | +2.6% | +1.7% | -1.3% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +3.1% | -0.4% | +3.4% | +1.5% | +0.8% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.87 | 0.99 | +14.4% | +2.7% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +2.4% |
| 2023-05-02 miss | 0.74 | 0.37 | -50.0% | -9.6% | -7.1% | -7.4% | -12.1% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 0.57 | 0.62 | +8.1% | -1.0% | -4.0% | -2.0% | -10.0% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 0.71 | 0.60 | -14.9% | +1.6% | +3.5% | -0.3% | +4.8% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.75 | 1.01 | +35.5% | -4.4% | -6.2% | +1.6% | -3.0% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | 0.69 | 0.55 | -20.1% | +0.1% | +1.5% | -1.3% | -3.3% |
| 2022-02-08 miss | 0.87 | 0.10 | -88.5% | -3.7% | -4.5% | -3.7% | +4.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.76 | 1.18 | +55.3% | -5.5% | -8.5% | +4.8% | +5.0% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +8.1% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -5.6% | -1.2% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.64 | 0.67 | +4.2% | -2.4% | -5.3% | -0.5% | +2.3% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 0.77 | 0.93 | +21.4% | +0.8% | -4.4% | -6.4% | -11.2% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 0.76 | 0.23 | -69.6% | -4.3% | -7.2% | -2.8% | -1.9% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.86 | 1.24 | +43.7% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -7.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | -2.80 | -2.86 | -2.2% | -1.6% | -2.1% | -2.1% | -5.1% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.58 | 0.65 | +12.8% | +2.3% | +2.9% | +3.6% | -8.3% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.64 | 0.82 | +28.2% | +0.2% | +4.4% | +0.9% | +12.9% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 0.50 | 0.75 | +50.9% | +3.1% | +6.4% | -3.3% | -4.8% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.41 | 0.62 | +49.5% | +0.3% | +3.3% | +8.4% | +2.5% |
| 2019-02-14 miss | 0.49 | 0.40 | -17.8% | +1.0% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +2.6% |
| 2018-10-30 miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -6.2% | -3.0% | -3.6% | +12.3% | +6.2% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +19.6% | +1.1% | -3.0% | -5.3% | +11.3% |
| 2018-05-01 miss | 0.12 | -0.01 | -108.7% | +0.1% | -1.8% | +3.3% | +12.2% |
| 2018-02-15 miss | -0.33 | -0.71 | -117.5% | -0.3% | -2.9% | +2.6% | +0.8% |
| 2017-10-31 beat | 0.06 | 0.17 | +165.6% | +3.2% | -0.9% | -4.5% | -12.6% |
| 2017-08-01 miss | -0.04 | -0.06 | -71.4% | -0.3% | -3.4% | +1.5% | +7.4% |
| 2017-05-04 miss | -0.88 | -0.96 | -9.1% | +2.5% | +1.5% | -6.9% | -0.8% |
| 2017-02-14 miss | 0.14 | 0.05 | -65.2% | -1.0% | +1.8% | -1.6% | +20.4% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 0.02 | 0.19 | +1039.8% | +3.5% | +3.5% | +2.4% | +11.0% |
| 2016-08-09 beat | -0.03 | 0.18 | +686.5% | +2.2% | -1.8% | -10.0% | -5.7% |
| 2016-05-09 miss | 0.27 | 0.12 | -55.0% | -0.4% | +3.1% | +5.0% | +13.8% |
| 2016-02-11 beat | 0.17 | 0.29 | +65.5% | -19.0% | -9.4% | +11.0% | +5.3% |
| 2015-11-03 beat | -0.42 | -0.22 | +47.4% | +3.2% | -0.5% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| 2015-08-04 miss | -0.09 | -0.10 | -6.7% | +5.0% | +5.5% | -5.0% | +12.3% |
| 2015-04-30 miss | -0.07 | -0.11 | -50.2% | -2.0% | -4.4% | +5.1% | +12.9% |
| 2015-02-12 miss | -0.16 | -0.22 | -41.0% | +0.9% | -0.4% | +9.0% | +20.6% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | -0.07 | 0.33 | +558.3% | +2.0% | +10.9% | +6.6% | +15.6% |
| 2014-07-31 miss | -0.12 | -0.22 | -80.3% | -1.8% | -3.6% | -0.6% | +13.9% |
| 2014-05-01 miss | -0.19 | -0.20 | -9.7% | -2.6% | +3.1% | +0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2014-02-12 miss | -0.13 | -0.15 | -19.7% | -1.0% | +4.3% | -7.1% | -10.8% |
| 2013-10-31 miss | -0.12 | -0.14 | -19.5% | -1.5% | +1.1% | -5.2% | +21.1% |
| 2013-08-01 beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +900.0% | +0.8% | +10.3% | +3.6% | +31.2% |
| 2013-05-02 beat | -0.18 | -0.12 | +32.2% | +1.3% | -0.2% | +4.2% | +2.0% |
| 2013-02-14 beat | -0.02 | 0.14 | +724.4% | +3.4% | +10.2% | +2.3% | +15.7% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | -0.20 | -0.17 | +14.1% | -0.4% | +10.3% | -6.3% | -0.6% |
| 2012-08-02 beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +313.1% | -18.6% | -21.5% | -9.2% | +2.2% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | -0.48 | -0.36 | +25.4% | +7.0% | +13.0% | +2.7% | +2.2% |
| 2012-02-15 miss | -0.40 | -0.44 | -8.9% | +0.5% | -5.5% | -0.4% | +4.8% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | -0.44 | -0.42 | +5.1% | +3.7% | +2.0% | -8.5% | -17.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.