INCY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.5% | 6.1% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.8% | 2.3% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +0.8% | 7.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.15 | 3.09 | +44.0% | +0.1% | +9.3% | -7.2% | -1.4% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.34 | 1.81 | +35.1% | -1.0% | +2.1% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 1.92 | 1.80 | -6.1% | -5.5% | -8.2% | +2.9% | -8.0% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 1.64 | 2.26 | +38.0% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +12.3% | +15.3% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.47 | 1.57 | +6.6% | +2.6% | +10.3% | +0.4% | +9.6% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.03 | 1.16 | +12.3% | -0.2% | +1.5% | -1.4% | +9.3% |
| 2025-02-10 miss | 1.55 | 1.43 | -8.0% | -1.5% | -7.9% | +4.3% | -0.8% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 1.09 | 1.07 | -2.0% | +2.8% | +12.0% | +5.0% | +2.5% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 1.11 | -1.82 | -264.5% | +1.1% | -1.2% | -9.6% | -3.2% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.83 | 0.64 | -23.1% | -4.1% | -1.0% | +4.5% | +10.1% |
| 2024-02-13 miss | 1.15 | 1.06 | -7.7% | +3.8% | +2.6% | +1.7% | -1.3% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +3.1% | -0.4% | +3.4% | +1.5% | +0.8% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.87 | 0.99 | +14.4% | +2.7% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +2.4% |
| 2023-05-02 miss | 0.74 | 0.37 | -50.0% | -9.6% | -7.1% | -7.4% | -12.1% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 0.57 | 0.62 | +8.1% | -1.0% | -4.0% | -2.0% | -10.0% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 0.71 | 0.60 | -14.9% | +1.6% | +3.5% | -0.3% | +4.8% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.75 | 1.01 | +35.5% | -4.4% | -6.2% | +1.6% | -3.0% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | 0.69 | 0.55 | -20.1% | +0.1% | +1.5% | -1.3% | -3.3% |
| 2022-02-08 miss | 0.87 | 0.10 | -88.5% | -3.7% | -4.5% | -3.7% | +4.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.76 | 1.18 | +55.3% | -5.5% | -8.5% | +4.8% | +5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.