JWN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.4% | -2.1% | 7.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.7% | +0.4% | 3.7% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | +0.4% | 2.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | -2.2% | 11.5% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-04 beat | 0.93 | 1.10 | +18.6% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +0.8% |
| 2024-11-26 beat | 0.22 | 0.33 | +50.2% | -4.5% | -8.1% | +3.7% | +6.6% |
| 2024-08-27 beat | 0.73 | 0.96 | +31.3% | +4.1% | +4.2% | +2.6% | +0.8% |
| 2024-05-30 miss | -0.07 | -0.24 | -255.4% | +2.6% | +5.1% | -2.7% | -2.9% |
| 2024-03-05 beat | 0.89 | 0.96 | +8.1% | -10.4% | -16.1% | +2.6% | +6.4% |
| 2023-11-21 beat | 0.13 | 0.25 | +88.2% | -3.5% | -4.6% | +9.9% | +29.6% |
| 2023-08-24 beat | 0.47 | 0.84 | +78.6% | -0.5% | -7.7% | +3.5% | -8.8% |
| 2023-05-31 beat | -0.11 | 0.07 | +164.2% | +8.1% | +4.7% | +21.0% | +28.8% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 0.67 | 0.74 | +10.9% | +3.1% | +2.4% | -7.9% | -16.5% |
| 2022-11-22 beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +34.8% | -9.1% | -4.2% | -7.8% | -21.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.