JWN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -1.1% | 10.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 3.2% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 2.4% | 42% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | -0.9% | 12.3% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-04 beat | 0.93 | 1.10 | +18.6% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +0.8% |
| 2024-11-26 beat | 0.22 | 0.33 | +50.2% | -4.5% | -8.1% | +3.7% | +6.6% |
| 2024-08-27 beat | 0.73 | 0.96 | +31.3% | +4.1% | +4.2% | +2.6% | +0.8% |
| 2024-05-30 miss | -0.07 | -0.24 | -255.4% | +2.6% | +5.1% | -2.7% | -2.9% |
| 2024-03-05 beat | 0.89 | 0.96 | +8.1% | -10.4% | -16.1% | +2.6% | +6.4% |
| 2023-11-21 beat | 0.13 | 0.25 | +88.2% | -3.5% | -4.6% | +9.9% | +29.6% |
| 2023-08-24 beat | 0.47 | 0.84 | +78.6% | -0.5% | -7.7% | +3.5% | -8.8% |
| 2023-05-31 beat | -0.11 | 0.07 | +164.2% | +8.1% | +4.7% | +21.0% | +28.8% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 0.67 | 0.74 | +10.9% | +3.1% | +2.4% | -7.9% | -16.5% |
| 2022-11-22 beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +34.8% | -9.1% | -4.2% | -7.8% | -21.1% |
| 2022-08-23 beat | 0.81 | 0.81 | +0.5% | -16.8% | -20.0% | -7.9% | -3.3% |
| 2022-05-24 miss | -0.04 | -0.06 | -42.0% | +0.6% | +14.0% | +10.3% | +4.7% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | 1.03 | 1.23 | +19.1% | +27.7% | +37.8% | -10.8% | +0.7% |
| 2021-11-23 miss | 0.56 | 0.39 | -30.2% | -24.7% | -29.0% | -9.3% | -2.3% |
| 2021-08-24 beat | 0.30 | 0.49 | +65.5% | -12.5% | -17.6% | -8.8% | -5.6% |
| 2021-05-25 miss | -0.52 | -0.64 | -23.6% | -7.1% | -5.8% | +0.3% | +6.0% |
| 2021-03-02 beat | 0.13 | 0.37 | +178.2% | -2.5% | -3.5% | +4.0% | +1.4% |
| 2020-11-24 beat | -0.09 | 0.22 | +337.4% | +3.7% | +11.6% | +7.7% | +13.2% |
| 2020-08-25 miss | -1.50 | -1.54 | -2.5% | -3.3% | -5.5% | +6.1% | -18.9% |
| 2020-05-28 miss | -1.17 | -2.23 | -90.8% | -7.1% | -11.0% | +40.2% | -2.1% |
| 2020-03-03 miss | 1.48 | 1.42 | -3.9% | -6.2% | -1.7% | -26.9% | -59.9% |
| 2019-11-21 beat | 0.64 | 0.81 | +27.0% | +8.0% | +10.6% | -1.1% | +6.5% |
| 2019-08-21 beat | 0.77 | 0.90 | +17.2% | +9.3% | +15.9% | -5.3% | +5.2% |
| 2019-05-21 miss | 0.44 | 0.23 | -47.3% | -9.4% | -9.2% | -5.5% | -2.8% |
| 2019-02-28 miss | 1.42 | 1.42 | -0.1% | +2.4% | -1.1% | -6.2% | -4.0% |
| 2018-11-15 beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +2.8% | -10.8% | -13.7% | +2.7% | -8.1% |
| 2018-08-16 beat | 0.84 | 0.95 | +13.0% | +6.4% | +13.2% | +4.9% | +8.2% |
| 2018-05-17 beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +11.1% | -8.0% | -10.9% | +7.9% | +12.8% |
| 2018-03-01 miss | 1.23 | 1.20 | -2.7% | -5.2% | +5.1% | -5.8% | -9.1% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 0.64 | 0.67 | +5.5% | -1.5% | +0.0% | +2.1% | +14.3% |
| 2017-08-10 miss | 0.65 | 0.65 | -0.4% | -1.2% | +0.1% | -1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2017-05-11 beat | 0.27 | 0.43 | +61.4% | -5.7% | -10.8% | -1.0% | +12.6% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | 1.15 | 1.27 | +10.2% | +2.3% | +5.7% | -0.2% | -8.6% |
| 2016-11-10 beat | 0.52 | 0.84 | +61.8% | +2.6% | +4.8% | +0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2016-08-11 beat | 0.57 | 0.67 | +17.5% | +7.2% | +8.0% | +2.5% | -4.3% |
| 2016-05-12 miss | 0.46 | 0.36 | -21.0% | -14.9% | -13.4% | -2.7% | -6.3% |
| 2016-02-18 miss | 1.23 | 1.17 | -5.5% | -9.2% | -6.7% | +6.8% | +17.3% |
| 2015-11-12 miss | 0.72 | 0.53 | -26.3% | -20.5% | -15.0% | +3.7% | +1.0% |
| 2015-08-13 beat | 0.90 | 0.93 | +3.2% | +4.9% | +4.3% | -3.8% | -5.5% |
| 2015-05-14 miss | 0.71 | 0.66 | -6.7% | +0.6% | +0.9% | +0.6% | -1.9% |
| 2015-02-19 miss | 1.35 | 1.32 | -2.0% | +0.7% | +6.0% | -1.6% | +0.3% |
| 2014-11-13 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +2.0% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +1.2% | +0.9% |
| 2014-08-14 beat | 0.95 | 0.95 | +0.3% | -4.6% | -5.2% | +6.7% | +6.7% |
| 2014-05-15 beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +6.3% | +9.0% | +14.7% | -3.8% | -3.9% |
| 2014-02-20 beat | 1.33 | 1.41 | +5.6% | -1.7% | -0.3% | +3.8% | +4.3% |
| 2013-11-14 beat | 0.66 | 0.69 | +4.0% | -1.6% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -4.7% |
| 2013-08-15 beat | 0.88 | 0.93 | +6.2% | -2.6% | -4.9% | +1.5% | +3.1% |
| 2013-05-16 miss | 0.76 | 0.73 | -4.1% | -3.7% | -0.7% | -1.3% | -1.7% |
| 2013-02-21 beat | 1.35 | 1.40 | +4.0% | +0.4% | -1.0% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2012-11-08 miss | 0.72 | 0.71 | -1.3% | -1.1% | -1.1% | +0.1% | -5.3% |
| 2012-08-09 beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.7% | +1.1% | +1.9% | +2.0% | +2.9% |
| 2012-05-10 miss | 0.75 | 0.70 | -7.0% | -4.1% | -4.8% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 2012-02-16 beat | 1.10 | 1.11 | +1.0% | -1.5% | -2.0% | +5.4% | +7.0% |
| 2011-11-10 beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.3% | -3.5% | -0.3% | -5.1% | -5.1% |
| 2011-08-11 beat | 0.74 | 0.83 | +12.4% | +7.9% | +4.6% | -15.4% | +3.1% |
| 2011-05-12 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +2.7% | -0.8% | -3.1% | -4.3% | -7.2% |
| 2011-02-17 beat | 0.99 | 1.04 | +4.9% | -1.7% | +0.9% | -3.5% | -9.1% |
| 2010-11-15 beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +5.7% | -2.9% | -3.1% | +5.8% | +4.4% |
| 2010-08-12 miss | 0.66 | 0.66 | -0.6% | -5.8% | -7.1% | +2.3% | +13.6% |
| 2010-05-13 miss | 0.62 | 0.52 | -16.1% | -3.4% | -3.7% | -4.1% | +1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.