LRN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.4% | +7.3% | 23.5% | 80% |
| Day 2 | +1.5% | +2.5% | 3.8% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +1.3% | +1.3% | 2.8% | 80% |
| 5-day | +8.9% | +14.4% | 25.5% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.91 | 2.12 | +10.8% | +8.7% | +2.6% | -4.8% | +3.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.21 | 2.30 | +4.1% | -1.7% | +2.8% | -2.3% | -2.9% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.32 | 2.50 | +7.8% | +24.3% | +14.2% | +4.5% | +2.0% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 1.26 | 1.52 | +20.4% | -44.6% | -54.4% | +2.6% | -9.3% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.89 | 2.29 | +21.4% | +16.2% | +15.7% | +6.8% | +8.4% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 2.15 | 2.02 | -5.9% | +1.7% | -0.2% | +11.7% | +6.4% |
| 2025-01-28 | 2.03 | 2.03 | — | +5.6% | +6.0% | +8.3% | +7.0% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 0.27 | 0.94 | +246.8% | +31.1% | +39.1% | +4.9% | +15.3% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 1.31 | 1.42 | +8.3% | +6.0% | +9.3% | +5.7% | +1.9% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.47 | 1.60 | +8.6% | +11.1% | +8.6% | +4.9% | +13.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.