LRN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +2.7% | 14.9% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 3.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.6% | 3.4% | 62% |
| 5-day | +3.2% | +1.6% | 18.3% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.91 | 2.12 | +10.8% | +8.7% | +2.6% | -4.8% | +3.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.21 | 2.30 | +4.1% | -1.7% | +2.8% | -2.3% | -2.9% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.32 | 2.50 | +7.8% | +24.3% | +14.2% | +4.5% | +2.0% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 1.26 | 1.52 | +20.4% | -44.6% | -54.4% | +2.6% | -9.3% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.89 | 2.29 | +21.4% | +16.2% | +15.7% | +6.8% | +8.4% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 2.15 | 2.02 | -5.9% | +1.7% | -0.2% | +11.7% | +6.4% |
| 2025-01-28 | 2.03 | 2.03 | — | +5.6% | +6.0% | +8.3% | +7.0% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 0.27 | 0.94 | +246.8% | +31.1% | +39.1% | +4.9% | +15.3% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 1.31 | 1.42 | +8.3% | +6.0% | +9.3% | +5.7% | +1.9% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.47 | 1.60 | +8.6% | +11.1% | +8.6% | +4.9% | +13.0% |
| 2024-01-23 beat | 1.35 | 1.54 | +13.7% | +11.1% | -2.0% | -1.4% | -5.5% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | -0.30 | 0.11 | +136.2% | +13.6% | +18.0% | +5.4% | +10.7% |
| 2023-08-15 beat | 0.91 | 1.01 | +10.5% | +12.7% | +4.6% | +3.4% | +10.8% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.06 | 1.30 | +22.1% | +13.8% | +13.1% | -3.3% | -5.8% |
| 2023-01-24 beat | 1.04 | 1.19 | +14.6% | +26.6% | +27.7% | +5.8% | +6.1% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | -0.14 | -0.54 | -299.8% | -16.9% | -29.3% | +2.6% | +8.6% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +3.8% | -1.6% | -12.6% | -5.8% | +5.1% |
| 2022-04-19 beat | 0.88 | 1.02 | +16.1% | +7.3% | +14.7% | -7.2% | -10.6% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 0.82 | 1.00 | +22.3% | +21.4% | +25.0% | +7.3% | +2.8% |
| 2021-10-19 miss | -0.07 | -0.15 | -110.3% | +6.4% | +3.1% | -3.9% | +4.5% |
| 2021-08-10 beat | 0.16 | 0.25 | +56.2% | +4.9% | +7.8% | +0.3% | +1.1% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +3.6% | -2.0% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -6.7% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.9% | -6.1% | -4.3% | +11.5% | -3.3% |
| 2020-10-26 beat | -0.24 | 0.30 | +223.3% | +14.2% | +2.5% | -16.0% | -20.4% |
| 2020-08-11 beat | 0.04 | 0.12 | +242.9% | +3.3% | -4.3% | -4.8% | -31.5% |
| 2020-04-27 beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +10.0% | +0.1% | -12.1% | +4.7% | +9.9% |
| 2020-01-27 beat | 0.52 | 0.52 | +0.6% | +2.6% | -15.1% | -1.6% | +11.3% |
| 2019-10-22 miss | -0.20 | -0.25 | -27.2% | -11.2% | -15.2% | -4.5% | -3.9% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.08 | +300.0% | -0.6% | -4.3% | +2.5% | -0.1% |
| 2019-04-23 beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +20.6% | +0.8% | -13.4% | -3.7% | +1.2% |
| 2019-01-22 beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +5.4% | -8.4% | +14.6% | +1.0% | +10.8% |
| 2018-10-23 beat | -0.30 | -0.22 | +26.7% | +6.3% | +19.8% | +3.1% | +10.7% |
| 2018-08-07 beat | 0.12 | 0.23 | +99.8% | +11.2% | +11.4% | -5.9% | -6.2% |
| 2018-04-24 miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -6.5% | +6.1% | +10.7% | -0.9% | +4.0% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.23 | 0.33 | +42.6% | +3.8% | +7.7% | -5.6% | -15.6% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | -0.36 | -0.21 | +42.5% | -2.2% | -4.3% | -6.6% | -4.4% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +81.5% | -1.4% | -6.3% | +3.9% | +4.1% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.24 | 0.42 | +75.0% | +1.5% | -7.0% | +5.8% | +0.1% |
| 2017-01-26 beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +11.1% | +1.7% | +16.4% | -4.5% | -8.8% |
| 2016-10-26 miss | -0.34 | -0.36 | -4.3% | -4.0% | -19.2% | -7.9% | +25.3% |
| 2016-08-09 miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -30.8% | -4.1% | -11.5% | +2.7% | +15.2% |
| 2016-04-27 beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +17.5% | +5.8% | +15.9% | -0.9% | -2.3% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +4.5% | +7.2% | +10.5% | +16.7% | +13.7% |
| 2015-10-27 miss | -0.30 | -0.34 | -12.1% | -8.8% | -15.8% | +7.3% | -1.7% |
| 2015-08-04 beat | 0.10 | 0.18 | +80.0% | +1.8% | -0.6% | +16.7% | +0.5% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 0.37 | 0.45 | +21.6% | +2.6% | +11.6% | -15.4% | -20.1% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +17.3% | +1.5% | +30.3% | +14.8% | +15.5% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | -0.22 | -0.18 | +16.7% | +0.9% | -4.5% | +2.2% | -5.3% |
| 2014-08-14 miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.4% | +0.0% | -13.3% | +0.7% | -9.5% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +5.7% | +0.6% | +5.0% | +9.8% | +1.3% |
| 2014-02-04 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +7.4% | +2.2% | -3.0% | -3.6% | +3.8% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | -0.13 | -0.13 | +2.3% | +4.6% | +3.0% | +12.5% | +8.1% |
| 2013-08-29 beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +124.5% | +4.3% | +11.2% | +3.5% | -13.1% |
| 2013-05-03 beat | 0.23 | 0.31 | +37.4% | +4.0% | +3.4% | +6.8% | +16.0% |
| 2013-02-05 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +10.1% | +3.3% | -1.2% | +15.0% | +16.2% |
| 2012-11-09 miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -17.5% | -2.0% | -2.6% | +4.5% | -2.4% |
| 2012-09-12 beat | -0.04 | 0.05 | +242.9% | +8.0% | +5.5% | -3.9% | -5.6% |
| 2012-05-08 miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -15.9% | -1.1% | -14.1% | -3.0% | +12.8% |
| 2012-02-07 miss | 0.26 | 0.11 | -57.3% | -3.8% | -3.5% | -8.9% | -9.8% |
| 2011-11-15 miss | 0.23 | 0.12 | -48.6% | -0.6% | -7.6% | -20.5% | -33.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.