LRN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +5.3% | +7.3% | 20.2% | 75% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 3.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +1.2% | 2.3% | 70% |
| 5-day | +7.9% | +10.4% | 22.6% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.91 | 2.12 | +10.8% | +8.7% | +2.6% | -4.8% | +3.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.21 | 2.30 | +4.1% | -1.7% | +2.8% | -2.3% | -2.9% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.32 | 2.50 | +7.8% | +24.3% | +14.2% | +4.5% | +2.0% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 1.26 | 1.52 | +20.4% | -44.6% | -54.4% | +2.6% | -9.3% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.89 | 2.29 | +21.4% | +16.2% | +15.7% | +6.8% | +8.4% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 2.15 | 2.02 | -5.9% | +1.7% | -0.2% | +11.7% | +6.4% |
| 2025-01-28 | 2.03 | 2.03 | — | +5.6% | +6.0% | +8.3% | +7.0% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 0.27 | 0.94 | +246.8% | +31.1% | +39.1% | +4.9% | +15.3% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 1.31 | 1.42 | +8.3% | +6.0% | +9.3% | +5.7% | +1.9% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.47 | 1.60 | +8.6% | +11.1% | +8.6% | +4.9% | +13.0% |
| 2024-01-23 beat | 1.35 | 1.54 | +13.7% | +11.1% | -2.0% | -1.4% | -5.5% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | -0.30 | 0.11 | +136.2% | +13.6% | +18.0% | +5.4% | +10.7% |
| 2023-08-15 beat | 0.91 | 1.01 | +10.5% | +12.7% | +4.6% | +3.4% | +10.8% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.06 | 1.30 | +22.1% | +13.8% | +13.1% | -3.3% | -5.8% |
| 2023-01-24 beat | 1.04 | 1.19 | +14.6% | +26.6% | +27.7% | +5.8% | +6.1% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | -0.14 | -0.54 | -299.8% | -16.9% | -29.3% | +2.6% | +8.6% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +3.8% | -1.6% | -12.6% | -5.8% | +5.1% |
| 2022-04-19 beat | 0.88 | 1.02 | +16.1% | +7.3% | +14.7% | -7.2% | -10.6% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 0.82 | 1.00 | +22.3% | +21.4% | +25.0% | +7.3% | +2.8% |
| 2021-10-19 miss | -0.07 | -0.15 | -110.3% | +6.4% | +3.1% | -3.9% | +4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.